Sunday, March 30, 2008

3.30.08: Interview with General Michael Hayden

Is it a consolation that Gen. Hayden is an improvement over the former C.I.A. Director George Tenet? There is little doubt that he is. Mr. Tenet was always politically expedient, following the pack at the top of the administration, a group thinker. Gen. Hayden is an improvement despite this column's continued concern that a military man is heading our most high profile, civilian intelligence agency. This interview should have taken the entire hour - that' what the producers should have pushed for; it is the man's first interview as C.I.A. Director and you do not take an entire hour, hopefully there is an explanation.

For lack of a better description, the entire interview left this writer uneasy. Several points contribute to this feeling. First, Mr. Russert was asking Gen. Hayden about the surge in Iraq. Again, the 'surge' is an escalation - make no mistake. However, this is traditionally not within the realm of expertise for the C.I.A. director. Is it because he is wearing the uniform? It just seemed that this line of questioning would have been better suited for Gen. Petraus and not the Director of the C.I.A.

However, when the subject turned to Basra and the Iraqi government going in into the city to route militants, Gen. Hayden said he didn't know anymore about it beforehand then Gen. Petraus did. This is a problem. Isn't the point of the C.I.A. to know things before they happen? What's called advanced intelligence. We don't seem to have much of that in Iraq, if any. Again, it leaves this writer uneasy.

And this seeming lack of advance [or you can read: current] intelligence also relates back to the National Intelligence Estimate following September 11th with regard to Iraq's WMD program. Though Gen. Hayden was not the C.I.A. Director at the time, he stated that he was in the room and blamed the lack of an honest assessment of Saddam Hussein's current WMD program on momentum. What?! He said that the momentum gained by the past intelligence trumped current information. This insight into the discussion that was happening in that meeting leaves us frightened. Nowhere in his answer can you point to one thing intelligent. Gen. Hayden said that they have learned vital lessons because of it, but the cost has been devastating to this country.

Also, this column wonders why Gen. Hayden, on today's program, could weigh in with his personal opinion with regard Iran's nuclear program (whether it is active or not) and not give his personal opinion on water boarding as torture. He defers to the Justice Department to decide whether it is torture or not. He would not give his opinion, he said it doesn't matter what he thinks, but it does. He is the Director of the C.I.A. Does this mean that he condones it? And deferring to the Justice Dept. for anything right now is a joke. The justice department under the Bush Administration has shredded the Constitution. We wish this was an overstatement, but unfortunately, it is not critical enough.

Lastly, Gen. Hayden spoke about giving his operatives liability insurance so that they don't have to think about the legality or morality of their actions that they take on behalf of the U.S. Government. We understand that this is designed to relieve the external (political) pressure on the operative, but giving them liability insurance implies that they need it and that they are engaging in illegal activity. The program cut to the clip of V.P. Cheney talking about working on the dark side, in the shadows. Intelligence is all about working in the shadows - to see where the rest of us can not. But going to the dark side, that leaves us no better than the people determined to do us harm though atrocious means.

For the second half of the program, which again there shouldn't have been, the guests were David Brooks, NY Times columnist and editor-at-large Peter Beinart to discuss whether Sen. Hillary Clinton should drop out of the race and what the repercussions are if she stays in.

Without the continual back and forth, here are the answers to these specific questions.

Should Hillary Clinton drop out of the race? No, she has the right to continue on since she has won some major primaries. She shouldn't drop out despite the mathematic improbability of her winning.

Is her campaign's current strategy hurting the Democratic Party? Yes, as long as Mrs. Clinton and her surrogates bitterly discuss race and gender, the Democratic Party will become more divided by the day. There is a real lack of leadership in the Democratic Party - Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and Howard Dean (to just name a few) have done nothing. They are ineffective and frankly, should be removed. Who can lead this party - Senators Obama and Clinton. However, their collective discourse is becoming more and more poisonous and that poison is trickling down throughout the party collective. And as a side note, Bill Clinton should just shut up. We used to love to see him at the forefront, but now we cringe every time we see him on the television. Talk about deflating the Party. From a distance, doesn't it just seem childish?

What should be their campaign strategy? We would have to agree with David Brooks - a rarity we realize, but he suggested that Mrs. Clinton just run a dignified campaign about ideas and policy, not using baiting tactics centered around race and gender. Wow, What a novel idea!

Sunday, March 23, 2008

3.23.08: Simple Physics

First, this column would like to say that it great to be back after a two-week layoff. The life of one mired in the middle class gets in the way sometimes of such minor endeavors, one of which is keeping a blog.

With that said, let's get on with it.

In the past few posts, this column has expressed concern that Meet The Press was not addressing anything else but the numbers of presidential election politics. This week faith, oddly enough on Easter Sunday, was restored. Presidential politics was discussed, but in the past week, too many significant happenings has gone, highlighted by open discussions of race, economic meltdowns, foreign policy blunders, and endorsements. Today's guests included Maria Bartiromo and Erin Burnett discussing the economy. In the context of MTP, this is overdue as some perspective needed to be given. Ms. Bartiromo maintains an optimism about the economy that it is cyclical and that with the Bear Sterns meltdown, we've seen the worse. However, in this particular cycle, Ms. Burnett pointed out that Alan Greenspan said it is the worst since WWII. And in this cycle, we're seeing people being wiped out. Foreclosures and stagnant wages, the former being an understated constant tragedy of the Bush Administration, make it difficult for a middle class worker to feel optimism that struggles are only cyclical.

Also, Ms. Burnett, who has been interviewing CEOs of companies that interact directly with consumers (she mentioned Little Ceasar's, Papa John's, Rainforest Cafe), see this economic downturn lasting for at least the next 18 months or more. A daunting prospect to say the least. At least exports are booming, right? Well, yes, but that props up the confidence of foreign consumers, it doesn't do much for the confidence of American consumers.

However, this column agrees with Ms. Bartiromo in that the FED chairman, Mr. Bernake is doing a good job in employing whatever tactic he can to keep the economy from running down a sink hole. If you're forced into a position in which you have to cut interest rates, you'll do it to maintain the minimum collective health of ordinary workers and consumers.

This week it has been pointed out that America is no longer focused at all on the Iraq war/occupation and that the economy dominates. What people need to remember is that Iraq is the central virus that creates all of America's ills. A projected cost of 3 trillion dollars sucked out of the U.S. economy doesn't serve any good purpose here in The States. Again, Iraq is the virus that cripples us, and in some aspects it will be permanent.

This is tied directly to the start of the discussion in the second portion of the show, which focused on the comments of Rev. Wright and Barack Obama's 'race' speech addressing it. After seeing the clip ad nauseum of Rev. Wright's comments, would we say that his tone was inflammatory? Yes. Would we question whether they were well thought out? Also, yes. Would we say that they showed a limited understanding of the real politik? Definitely. But we can also say that some of the comments were accurate in their essence. One of those points is simple physics. We put troops in Saudia Arabia and Muslim extremists found it intolerable. Any action will cause an equivalent reaction. Although assessing equivalents in politics is a matter of perspective. And Eugene Robinson was correct to point out, and it should be repeated, that this clip does not sum up the entire ministry of Rev. Wright. Do we know this first hand, you ask. No, but nor can we condemn learning of this second hand.
And it should also be pointed out that the comments didn't concern race as much as it did politics, yet it has been spun that way and Iraq is the backdrop for all of this.

With that said, Barack Obama felt that it was a necessity to give that speech in Philadelphia. Most of the media agrees, as they should, that the speech was a good first step in maturely discussing a problem that permeates throughout our 'great experiment' of an American society. This column's concern is that we, as a society, will only fixate on the speech itself and no one will pick up the ball per se. We'll have to wait and see.

All of this should not negatively affect Barack Obama's campaign, but as Jon Meacham pointed out, it does show that if Sen. Obama does walk across Lake Michigan, he might sink. (Leave it to Mr. Meacham to use the most appropriate of analogies on an Easter Sunday.)

And speaking of divisive comments, Bill Clinton is two steps away from permanently, critically damaging his legacy as President. He has been the single most divisive force in the Democratic National Primary. We will not speculate on the psychology of Mr. Clinton's thinking and whether he 'owes' it to his wife for any past embarrassments, etc. What is significant is the clear and present embarrassment he is becoming to Mrs. Clinton's campaign. This is projecting out to be classic political crash and burn - legacy damaged, lost nomination, political clout looking like the U.S.'s present moral standing in the world. How will all this affect Mrs. Clinton's determination in the Senate. Again, we have to wait and see.

One of the greatest things about America is that there is an adverse effect on society, hence action taken to remove an entity that is perceived to have too much control over something. It may seem that Americans do not act enough in this capacity, we really we do. Our first great lesson of the 21st Century is that we shouldn't have remained complacent when we witnessed the Bush Administration consolidating power. We bring this up because today's discussion touched on a perception that the Clintons control the Democratic party and wield all the influence, a 'magic voodoo' as Peggy Noonan put it. If they, in fact, did have this control, we are now seeing cut off at the knees.

If there is an endorsement that really does matter, it was Bill Richardson's endorsement of Barack Obama. That was a significant chop. Not only is it a former presidential contender endorsing another, but it serves as a significant rebuke of Mrs. Clinton. Remember that Gov. Richardson served the Clinton administration in various significant capacities. And for Mrs. Clinton's part in this rebuke, it is unfortunate that well... Mrs. Clinton doesn't necessarily lie, but she exaggaerates and alters past events and statement greatly, playing the Dick Cheney game of what I'm saying now is the truth and no matter what you think I said or recorded I said or did in the past simply isn't so because I say.

Lastly, Eugene Robinson surmised that the superdelegates should aline with the elected delegates and for the sake of the Democratic Party they should. However, as Mr. Meacham pointed out, it is rare that a primary election would affect the general election, but in this political cycle, it could happen. If this is to be the case, it could very well ruin the Democratic Party.









chick todd scrubs the numbers very well...

do with the pledged delegates - the supers - according to Gene Robinson

primary battle rarely effectsa general election but it could happen here...

War and the econony...

Sunday, March 02, 2008

3.2.08: More No News

It is disappointing that this week's column will be an extension of last week's column in that there isn't much good to say about this week's program. It started with Friday's e-mail alert dampening our spirits in announcing Mike Murphy, Bob Shrum, Mary Matalin, and James Carville as guests. This column prefers not to pull technicality-type reasoning, but is this Meet The Press or Meet The Analysis. These four individuals are featured on MTP more than anyone else and they’re not even the press. This group needs a name - maybe the No New News Corps. Ok, we admit, a poor attempt, but that is exactly what they provide - no news. In the future if they decide to feature this group, they should air the group's 4-Mimosa Brunch that we presume happens after the taping. Now that would be entertaining.

Our discontent stems from the lack of insight that they provide. For example, one statement (it doesn't matter from whom specifically, it's hardly worth dissecting it that far) was that if Mrs. Clinton wins Texas and Ohio, she could still come out behind in delegates - no news.

Bob Shrum said that if Mrs. Clinton does win those states that she could conceivably acquire the moral claim to the nomination. She could 'acquire a moral claim'? That is the type of speculation that, to say the least, makes you wonder and can only help one feel less enthusiastic about the process. This week's program has assisted in making the viewer less enthusiastic about the Democratic nominating process. Actually, and this is more no-news, the 20th Democratic debate in Austin, TX officially killed that enthusiasm. Shows like this week's program are just the pile-on.

This is not to discount everything that this particular panel says. For example, Mike Murphy is correct in saying that the Republicans would be high-fiving if the Democrats were to try and put the Barack Obama phenomenon back in the bottle. No matter what, that will not happen. As stated in last week's column, the people are always out front of the press on things like this. The other aspect that they bring to the table is that they have firsthand accounts of historical campaign precedent and one can never underestimate the importance of historical reference. History repeats itself because we overlook and underestimate historical precedent continually.

But ultimately, how insightful and analytical can these four individuals be to us? Unfortunately, not very. They are all so invested in the individuals that they have backed over the years that everything they say is funneled through that respective lenses. The second half of the program was to be devoted to the issues. They briefly touched on NAFTA and the economy, but then quickly digressed back to candidate personalities and prospective VP picks. And in speaking about those issues, we provide this one example as to why we think these guests' collective opinion is out of touch. A poll was flashed on the screen in which the vast majority of the American people feel that the economy is in fair to poor condition. Mary Matalin's answer to this was that 'if you were to ask individuals, they would mostly say that their finances are excellent and that the poll was conducted in such a way to show the opposite.' This comes from a close, longtime senior advisor to VP Richard Cheney. Talk about being out of touch. News to ONLY Ms. Matalin - it's tough out there and people are struggling economically.

Do we even have to point this out? Apparently we do, if these four individuals are going to constantly be on Meet The Press.

Sunday, February 24, 2008

2.24.08: Damn Nader, Why Do You Have to Be Right?

Ralph Nader... Ralph Nader... Ralph Nader.

Mr. Nader announced today on Meet The Press that he will indeed enter the race for the Presidency of the United States. The impact of this, is felt little by all Republicans of various stripes. As far as they are concerned, they welcome the entry, harkening back to the year 2000 where many blame Mr. Nader from keeping Mr. Gore from the White House. Republicans view Nader as an equalizer in the general election. Democrats, on the other hand, look upon a Nader candidacy with real dread. But damn it, if Mr. Nader isn't correct on so many issues... and that's the problem. His arguments make him more than a compelling figure to vote for, but it is at the peril of seeing a Republican win the office. With the circumstances of the 2000 election in mind, Mr. Russert asked Mr. Nader who he would prefer in 2008, Obama or McCain. How could he ask Mr. Nader that question when he just announced his candidacy? He also suggested that Mr. Nader was responsible for the George W. Bush Presidency, which is completely ludicrous. Mr. Nader reminded him that 250,000 Democrats voted for George Bush in Florida, an eerie reminder to say the least. If you're a Democrat, chew on that number for a while.

So Mr. Nader has once again, made a compelling argument to run and this column does not begrudge anyone who makes that decision. Mr. Nader is for the populace and is right to remind us that George W. Bush's administration has committed multiple impeachable offenses. It's offensive to not hold the administration accountable. Mr. Nader justly reminds us of this - hence he candidacy is completely justified.

However, there are two problems with the Nader candidacy. One, we only hear from Mr. Nader every four years. There is no doubt that in the time between he is working on behalf of the American people, but vocalization of this work and the injustices perpetrated against Americans by its own government as he sees them is vitally important to be effective. Overall, he is not vocal enough. A President needs to have a strong voice, lead more out front, and this is never truer than in today's times.

The other problem was illustrated on today's program - the corporate media. Mr. Nader announced his run for the presidency on today's show, and Mr. Russert never brought it up with the panel that followed. The discussion immediately went to polls concerning Obama-Clinton-McCain. Ignored by the corporate media five minutes after you announce is something that, unfortunately, can only work against a candidate. This is written off as just typical these days.

Speaking of the media, for such an exciting, history-making election, they have done an awful job in sticking with the topics that are of the most importance. All they have been trying to do, it seems, is steer the race in the directions that they want it to go. The New York Times article is a good example. If they had eliminated the circumstantial part about the affair and just focused on McCain's unusual closeness with lobbyists, then the article presents a critical issue for the race. Now, as it stands, it is viewed as weak and salacious. On most issues, as Doris Kearns Goodwin pointed out today, the people are ahead of the reporters.

The panelist discussion today really isn't worth commenting on, save for this. There are so many important topics for the press to discuss, and for this particular program to address, that this constant rehash of presidential polls every week on the program has become predicable, tiresome, and counter-productive. It dominates every panel discussion and this column demands more thoughtful discussion. There was a Presidential historian (Doris Kearns Goodwin) and there wasn't even a mention of Cuba. Ridiculous. Do we demand a higher standard from Meet The Press than the rest of the 'news' talk shows? You better believe it. Did MTP live up to that standard today? Not even close.


[Side Note 1: One of the polls that was flashed on the screen was a Diageo poll. Is Diageo a spirits conglomerate? What's up with that?]

[Side Note 2: Can everyone stop with 'you plagiarized that line' tit for tat? The William Saffire clip about his lifting lines as a speechwriter should explain it all.]

Sunday, February 17, 2008

2.17.08: Internal Slaughter

Are we sick of hearing about superdelegates yet? Yes, we most probably already reached the tipping point about three weeks ago. Yet here we are, and the talk is only going to get more intense and superdelegates are an even bigger factor in the Democratic presidential race. If the television press keeps up with all this super-speculation about the role of superdelegates, the voters will really be put off the political process.

It is the most politically salacious story going, which brings us to this week's first two guests - Chuck Schumer (D-NY and Clinton spokesman) and Dick Durbin (D-IL and Obama spokesman). Senator Schumer keep referring to internecine battles, which would damage the party. Internecine is defined in Oxford as a general slaughtering or mutually destructive. Schumer was using the word with the latter definition in mind, but rest assured, if superdelegates play an integral part in nominating the Democratic candidate for President, then the former definition will be the operative one. It will be a general slaughtering in as much as Democratic voters will be so turned off by the process that the Democrats will lose the Presidency. Yes, they will lose it!

The debate today was silly and speculative, but here are some observations. With Obama winning right now, what do you think Senator Durbin is going to say... Let the will of the people prevail and don't let the superdelegates decide. For Senator Schumer, he said the supers should vote their conscience. What he's saying is for Washington political insiders to vote their conscience, which sounds oxymoronic at best, right?

Sen. Schumer also said that this nomination should not be decided with some back room deal. If it's close, that is exactly what's going to happen, make no mistake. He couldn't give a straight answer to Mr. Russert for the entire interview. It is a wasteful and derisive conversation at this point. Let primaries take place first because it always ends up that the American people, when it comes to politics are always the smartest ones. Washington insiders are very arrogant in this regard and assume that the people don't know best. The Supreme Court chose George W. Bush when another guy got the popular vote. Does more need to be said?


The panel discussion featured the return of the Capitol Gang - Al Hunt, Margaret Carlson, Mark Shields, Bob Novak, and Kate O'Beirne. The significance of these people getting together again is negligible. Going around the table, Mark Shields admitted that his own political prognosticating is less than credible, being on the losing side of the last four Presidential elections. Mr. Novak warned him chided him on being a political operative instead of an impartial journalist. Are you kidding, Novak is the worst of them all. He is not a conservative. He is a Republican political mouthpiece. His conduct during the entire affair of outing Valerie Plame was inexcusable and disqualifies any credibility that he has so by extension anything that he says, including what was said on today's program, carries no weight. If it hasn't be made perfectly clear - this column has little to no use for Robert Novak at all and would be happy to never see him appear on Meet The Press again. Those privileges should have been retracted long ago. If you want a true conservative, look to Kate O'Beirne. You may disagree with her political views, but she commands respect because she does not back away from criticizing Republicans when they contradict that conservative philosophy that she adheres to.

All the pundits had his/her own take and observations on the Democratic race, breaking it down into bullet points, which is the best reason for pundits to exist. The frustration is evident on the part of Hillary Clinton, as Ms. O'Beirne said. Of course, when she laid out her strategy, there wasn't an Obama tsunami on radar. The notion of 28 years of Bush and Clinton names dominating the presidential conversation is not something the American people want. Most people would say to give someone else a shot. Again, the people are correct in that having that idea.

The Republican contest was touched on briefly and the consensus was that Huckabee is just a monkey in the wrench and should step away. Internecine battles are what Washington is all about. Eating your own is the modus operandi on both sides and it is the exact thing the people don't want. But the general slaughter will continue with the press providing the ammunition. And as these mutually destructive internal battles continue, the rest of the country sat through a disturbing week, in which they watched Americans citizens walk into schools and universities with guns killing their own.

Sunday, February 10, 2008

2.10.08: Everyone's got a Shot. (?)

Last night this column entered in a single criteria for Meet The Press's Mike Huckabee interview (refer to previous post). In short, injecting God's word into the Constitution was not discussed. Mr. Russert did ask tough questions about Gov. Huckabee's association with the Texas Tele-evangelist Kenneth Copeland whose finances are being investigated by Congress. During this portion of the interview, Mr. Russert touched on points such as Gov. Huckabee supporting Mr. Copeland in defiance of Congress, but he never arrived at Gov. Huckabee's position on the Consitution, much more important. Discussing the improprieties of this relationship is a smearing and simply lines up people to either side. Gov. Huckabee's position on changing the Constitution to be in line with God's law is philosophy that contradicts one of this country's prime pillars - namely, freedom of religion. Anyone with a single secular bone within should be concerned about his position.

So this interview did not cut it. There's no other analysis required. But there is just one another observation the column has about Gov. Huckabee. As he said, he's one who believes he has a shot where ever he goes. He does... because he doesn't take cheap shots, at least not in television interviews that garner single audiences and people consciously or unconsciously respond that. The likeability factor plays best with Gov. Huckabee, but not to the extent of lowest common denominator criteria such as who you would rather have a beer with.

The panel discussion obviously centered around the primary contests. If you read this column and of course watch Meet The Press, we will presume that you know the score in both. What's worth of discussion in terms of the panel is this Democratic party superdelegate problem... and it is a problem. Do these superdelegates go against the voters of the states they represent? Do they broker a backroom deal? Etc. Many people are wondering where the whole superdelegate business came from in the first place and why are we suddenly debating over them now. Even without looking at the numbers, having superdelegates in play is the work of the most savvy of political slicers and that is the Clintons. It reeks of them, anything to shoot down the competition. And the lobbying of these superdelegates on both sides doesn't pass the smell test, to borrow Gwen Ifill's phrase. And the kicker is that if they go to the backroom, Howard Dean, the chair of the DNC, doesn't have the clout to broker a deal, as stated by David Broder. That's not comforting.

Chuck Todd, unlike the other journalists on the panel, started as a blogger and understands the role of the internet better than most and was quick to point out something significant, which was once the list of superdelegates goes up on the internet, there will be e-mail campaigns hitting people who least expect it. And there should be.

Lastly, because of all of this talk of delegates, super and mediocre, Michigan and Florida now are demanding back into the decision making process with the DNC. This column believes that they should have never been excluded in the first place. This was the DNC flexing muscle without the larger concern for the Democratic constituents of those states. Do-overs were fodder for conversation today. Do-overs?! The has mess written all over it and lawsuits as far as the eye can see if the delegate numbers count. Plainly, the responsibility for this is on the shoulders of the DNC.

As of this writing, the top four candidates still all have a shot at the nomination, but it won't come without dodging a barrage of bullets from all sides.


Guests:
Gov. Mike Huckabee
Gwen Ifill
David Broder
Chuck Todd
David Brody

Saturday, February 09, 2008

2.9.08: Saturday Night Criteria

On tomorrow's Meet The Press, Mr. Russert will interview Mike Huckabee, Presidential candidate. If Mr. Russert does not ask Gov. Huckabee about his stance on the Constitution and changing it to be more in line with God's law, then the interview is an overall failure.

Sunday, February 03, 2008

2.3.08: Double-Edged Swords

This week's panel managed to be mildly insightful and this column's expectations were quite low. It seems like this is the panel, Meet The Press calls on Thursday night before the e-mail newsletter goes out on Friday to inform viewers of the week's guests. These panelists are the MTP establishment, three phone numbers (two for one when you call fric and frac) constantly at the ready.

However, these panelists stepped up this week, obviously psyched for Super Bowl Tuesday. (This is like a quasi-leap year with the Super Bowl and Super Tuesday in such close proximity.) The thing with Shrum and Carville is that we're always told who they were instrumental in helping win. But let's put it this way (keeping with the football spirit), Brett Favre has the most touchdown passes in NFL history, but what is not acknowledged as much is that he also has the record for career interceptions. Carville and Shrum, in particular, have been responsible for some serious democratic defeats and bad judgement - John Kerry hunting a week before people go to the polls was just downright idiotic.

With that said, Shrum did make a good point (incredibly) that when Clinton plays the experience card, it's a double-edged sword. People want the experience, but they are tired of hearing the same name that goes with that experience. This whole notion makes it more difficult for Clinton to defeat McCain in the general election if, in fact, they are to be the respective nominees.

Much of the conversation with regard to Democrats was in terms of Senator Clinton - what she does/says or doesn't do/say. But Mary Matalin was right when she said that Clinton has the machine set up for Super Tuesday whereas Obama only has name recognition. This would seem to be a problem, however, in American presidential politics, it has been shown that the less people know about the candidate, the better for electability. This brings us to the opening comments about the Kennedy endorsements. This column does not feel that those endorsements are that significant. The Kennedy name is a tower in the Democratic party, yes, but does that name help with bringing someone over the top? Hardly. And speaking of the Kennedy name, Mr. Russert mentioned that this campaign's themes and rhetoric are very much like when JFK was running and that experience isn't the biggest factor. But realistically, many would agree that JFK's presidency was failing down - Cuban Missile Crisis, Bay of Pigs.... Experience, like everything else, is what the individual perceives it to be.

And going back to Shrum, he said that Senator Clinton should have just said that her vote on the war was a mistake and that she should have just apologized for it. Mary Matalin commented how it looks like to be duped by a dope (meaning President Bush). We realize that we're taking her statement a touch out of context as Ms. Matalin did not and would not call President Bush a dope, but it is fun to hear the words 'dope, Bush, duped' all in the same breath coming from her mouth. However, Bob Shrum's advice to apologize for the mistaken vote, is a mistake in and of itself. She can not apologize, nor should she, for that vote. Going to war with Iraq was a mistake, we all know this. But if she reverses on the one vote, there is no possible way she would be elected. Not only would she be piled by Democrats, but Republicans as well. If Mr. Shrum were involved in Hillary Clinton's campaign he would have advised that - remember all Brett Favre's interceptions....

On the other side of the break, the Republican conversation is much dicier. Mary Matalin was trying desperately to hide her vitriol for John McCain. She should just give it up. She said that she's not against McCain, but it was one of those times when you hear a straight denial and nothing but the exact opposite is the truth. She doesn't like Huckabee obviously as she constantly referred to his 'man-crush' for McCain, which leaves Romney who she seems to support. There is the Republican Conservative base and then there's a Republican establishment. The establishment wants Romney, but as she said, the Republican party is one of primogeniture so with that, McCain is the only choice. The other Republican voice on the panel, Mike Murphy, is always a bit more analytical with his answers, remarking today that the Republican base appeasing strategy will simply not do and is not a winner. Also, Mr. Murphy always seems quite amicable, but with him being a campaign strategist, a Republican strategist, one can't help but wonder what Mr. Murphy turns into when the moon is full.

All this brings us to the general election and who the nominees should be. This column feels obligated to make presidential recommendations before Super Tuesday. Not weighing in before is like picking the Super Bowl on Monday.

For Republicans, this column has been very transparent on who their nominee should be - John McCain. Huckabee is very personable, but anyone who recommends that the Constitution should be amended to more reflect the Bible's teachings, is out! Country of laws, not men. With Romney, this column's humble opinion is that people are tired of a politician who will say anything to be elected. McCain's not a perfect Republican candidate, but he's their best shot for November and any Democrat who underestimates John McCain in the general, is living dangerously.

For the Democrats, frankly this column has been a bit more demur about it's recommendation for the general election. This column believes that the players in the party will continue to be players whether or not he or she is the nominee. The operative example here is John Edwards, not in the race but still a voice of considerable clout. He will be a party of the process as would the candidate who does not get the nomination.

With this said, it is time for new names and new faces, therefore this column recommends that the Democrats lift Barack Obama to be their nominee. The Republican machine would be firing on all cylinders against the Clintons and Hillary Clinton would still play an instrumental role in the governing of the country under a Democratic president. Senator Obama's hopeful vision comes up against many cynics, but that has never been this country's self-description. We do not consider ourselves that and never have. There is no reason to be afraid of change and a new vision and a new cast to fulfill it.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

1.27.08: Straight Talk or not to Straight Talk, That is the Question

Congratulations, John McCain. You're on Meet The Press for the second time this month. Guess who has the momentum in the Republican primary race. However, this column shouldn't complain about this de facto endorsement of McCain because it stated that, in fact, he would (or should) be the nominee for he Republicans.

However, as John McCain gets closer to that nomination, his straight talk gets more and more distant, in essence his answers are much more nuanced. Sen. McCain has always been for the surge and that's pretty straight, in the beginning generals said that we need more troops going in. McCain agreed with that sparking his harsh exchanges and eventual calls for Rumsfeld's dismissal. But what's not straight is the fact that it is an escalation. Surge implies an eventual subsiding. That's not what's happening with our troops in Iraq. They are there to stay in force. And McCain was also incorrect in saying that the American people will turn their feelings around for the war (occupation) and support our presence there. Paraphrasing, he said that it's not a matter of our troops being there, but a matter of our troops dying there. It IS a matter of our troops being there. We left Saudi Arabia, why? And the Iraq tragedy is too far gone for the American people to come around and think it's a noble cause.

Lastly, he didn't really explain why he thought it was a war of necessity. He mentioned that Saddam had used weapons of mass destruction and the oil-for-food scandal in the UN, inspections breaking down, etc. Given that the inspectors at the time could not find any WMD, none of the aforementioned reasons call for a necessary preemptive invasion.

And now that he is the frontrunner, despite any polling numbers to the contrary, there is this silly question of is he conservative enough. Republicans are asking this, of course, and it's fascinating to witness the fervor for someone eating his own. Rush Limbaugh and Rick Santorum coming out strong against. Limbaugh continually so through the airwaves, deriding not only McCain, but Huckabee as well. Limbaugh's approach has always been Cheney-esque, petty, pointed, personal attacks and this is why the Republicans are floundering. As far as Rick Santorum is concerned, his M.O. was always stand in the back of the republican gang machine with the large megaphone and pile on, on when the hard mauling was done. This is why he is not still in office.

So... Is McCain conservative enough? He invokes Reagan enough. That should count. This time it was about Reagan's smart spending and tax cutting. Ugh.. Ronald spent more money on programs [read: Star Wars] that never materialized than any other president in history. And trickle down economics is just that, a trickle. No one gets excited about a trickle like they do a flood. He did flip-flop on the Bush tax cuts and his immigration policy is a bit more sensible to the reality of the situation so that could call his Republicanism into question, but lets still be real. He is the best chance for the Republicans to win the presidency.

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Today's program, ahead of the Florida primary, was coming to you from Tampa Bay so it's a little surprising that Maureen Dowd would be on the show. It's just odd that she's in Tampa at all, in an inexplicable way, it seems beneath her. However, she is a great equalizer of straight talk, especially when following an interview with a politician. Byron York, from the National Review, was downright subdued. It just looked pain for him to speak about the Republicans. Talk about a guy who is just bummed out. He's no Kate O'Bierne who will rip conservatives a new. As they say, he doesn't have that juice. And lastly, there NBC's Political Director, Chuck Todd. We like Chuck Todd and have to because he's being groomed for the MTP chair. It's a long way off but he's going to be Mr. Russert's successor. He just needs to speak more from the diaphragm - project and make sure his statements don't trail off at the end. We're just trying to be helpful. Again, this is a long way off, but that's our bet.

So with this panel, you were basically just waiting for Ms. Dowd to speak - those were the moments that counted most. She spoke frankly about Bill Clinton's conduct in South Carolina and passionately (rare but delightful to see) about Obama's message of hope. And the quote from John Kerry thrown up on the screen was spot on. Bill Clinton's conduct and words in South Carolina this past week were a blow to his standing as a former President. Former Presidents can critique or criticize the current president (the unwritten rule that this can't happen is ridiculous. Former presidents have the unique knowledge to do it!), but they shouldn't be petty and manipulative. And it is scary to think about this dynamic in the oval office. Trepidation is a understate here. Chuck Todd made a great point that after the South Carolina primary, the first Clinton you heard from was Bill, not Hillary! The word he used was 'weird,' I'm thinking 'creepy,' but it would be most accurate to say 'scary.'

Going back for a moment to Ms. Dowd's point about Obama, Mr. Russert summed it up concisely - balancing hope with defiance. Barack Obama is the embodiment of this combination. It's quite evident.

Other points of note... Giuliani's campaign... simply not a smart one. Gambling in Florida is a losing proposition, you have to play in all the states to win and he didn't do it. Plus, I think the money woes went a little deeper than it was let on. Also, people are catching up on the fuller Giuliani picture, that he is manipulative and has shades of grey that veer to much the way of black.

The race is taking shape and this column will have its recommendations for whom should be the respective parties nominees. Call them endorsements if you like, but you can only vote for one person. Since I'm only one person, I'm calling them recommendations. An official endorsement for president will come when there are only two because there can be only one.

oooo... the drama...