Sunday, February 10, 2019

2.10.19: Fiscal Hypocrisy Has Made Progress Prohibitive

Much was made of the Democratic party divide on today's program about which the direction the party should go as more Democrats declare their candidacies for the presidency in 2020. However, Senator Michael Bennett (D-CO) put it in the proper perspective explaining that the country is as nearly divided as the parties are in Washington. Debates on the Democratic side regarding whether or  to move more toward the left base versus the center is naturally politically predictable at this point in time. Two issues in particular set the conversation today: Democratic positions on healthcare and the environment respectively.

On the Democratic side, some are saying that we should have Medicare for all while others are saying that it's unrealistic while facing down the backdrop of Republican criticism that Medicare for all is a move toward socialism. (On the last point, don't believe the hype as the scare tactics of moving toward socialism in America are completely overblown. Plus, Americans happen to like the two biggest socialist programs we have - Medicare and Social Security.) With that said, we have to acknowledge particular truths that Senator Bennett outlined. One, the United States is the only industrialized country in the world that doesn't cover all its citizens and that we pay the most for healthcare.

On the environment, the Green New Deal introduced by Congresspersons Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) and Ed Markey (D-MA) is an aspirational proposal to address climate change as today's panel accurately described it, however which House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called a 'green dream,' playing the pragmatic realist understanding that Republicans will never go for it.

In both cases there has to be the acknowledgement by both parties that one, everyone needs to be covered with healthcare and two, that climate change is real and needs to be seriously addressed. So far, only Democrats have come to embrace these realities. As much as Republicans hate the Affordable Care Act, they are still yet to offer a serious proposal that would be better. To Senator Bennett's credit (as he mentioned today), he has authored a bill with Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) that puts in place a public option (i.e. Medicare) for who ever wants it. It would be the first move in a gradual process of potentially providing Medicare for all. The problem for Republicans, and why they blocked it in the original ACA proposal, is their fear that it will in fact become the most popular option for healthcare.

Daily Kos founder Markos Moulitsas explained, the American system of democracy and legislating was designed to be slow. Extrapolating that out a bit, change is meant to be gradual and providing a public option is provides for a gradually directed process of getting more people covered.

As for the environment, the first step is getting Republican politicians to simply acknowledge that climate change is real. In 2019, it's inexplicable that Republican politicians writ large still deny the overwhelming science that climate change presents a clear and present danger. As NBC's Katy Tur mentioned, the eventual economic damage and loss of human life is becoming ever more prevalent and can no longer be ignored especially here in the United States where we're having to allocate more and more billions of dollars in emergency relief funds for areas of the country hit by catastrophic storms, floods and fires.

Speaking of emergency funds, according to the acting Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney the president is thinking of taking some of those funds as part of a declaration of a national emergency to build a border wall at the southern border, where there is no security crisis. Mr. Mulvaney said he was not optimistic about a border security deal given on his experience in Washington. More clearly, he's not pessimistic about a deal, just one that the president will be willing to sign into law, hence why another government shutdown is not being taken off the table. However, if Republicans and Democrats do strike a deal and the president doesn't sign it, the responsibility of another government shutdown will fall squarely on his shoulders and will further tank his approval ratings.

All this speaks to what Senator Bennett called the fiscal hypocrisy on the part of the Republicans, running up the biggest budget deficit in American history during the last Congress, completely controlled by the GOP. With the tax cuts passed by the Republican-controlled Congress, preparing for emergency contingencies including rebuilding infrastructure and providing affordable healthcare have become completely prohibitive.

Lastly, Congress Adam Schiff (D-CA) explained that the Intelligence Committee will expand its scope beyond Russian meddling in the 2016 election to include President Trump's potential financial ties to the Kremlin and to Saudi Arabia to find out whether or not the president is financially compromised in anyway which would hence put his personal financial interests ahead of his duties as president. Despite the president's protests, this type of oversight is to be expected and is necessary.  Congressman Schiff explained that the committee needs to present the facts to the American people no matter which way they cut, and this should be the case.


Panel: Katy Tur, NBC News; Kimberly Atkins, WBUR in Boston; David Brody, Christian Broadcast Network; Markos Moulitsas, the Daily Kos

One more thing...
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) should have never claimed Native American status and though she has since apologized for this it was disingenuous of her to use a 1/64th heritage (or whatever ultra-slim margin it was) to claim minority status. This problem doesn't bode well for her chances to become the Democratic nominee for president in 2020, despite her populace economic message.

However as equally distasteful perhaps more so is the president's utterly callous reference to the 'Trail of Tears' in a tweet.  It's pathetic that the President of the United States doesn't realize how offensive this is. Four thousand Cherokee Native Americans died from disease, cold and starvation by being forcibly relocated west while white Americans looted their homes because they weren't allowed to take any of their possessions with them.



Tuesday, February 05, 2019

2.5.19: Notes from President Trump's State of the Union Address

Here are my notes from President Donald Trump's second State of the Union address.  Make of them what you will...

President enters the House chamber at 9:03pm EST.

POTUS to the rostrum at 9:05pm EST.

This is a moment of unlimited potential.

Hoping to govern not as two parties but as one nation.

The agenda of the American people.

Victory is winning for out country...

Platitudes platitudes platitudes...

75 years in June of the Allied liberation of Europe in WWII.
Salute to the WWII veterans in attendance.

50 years Apollo 11 moon landing...

In the 20th century there was nothing to compete with America.
Now, create a new standard of living in the 21st century.

More platitudes.... and empty applause lines...

Embrace compromise and the common good.

Pointless destruction.. Tonight I ask you to choose greatness.

In just over two years - unleashed an economic boom...

600,000 new manufacturing jobs...

5 million Americans lifted off food stamps.

The hottest economy in the world. Pence is such a sycophant...

Tax cut for working families and double the child tax credit.
Nearly ended the death tax - small businesses and family farms? Really?

Cut the mandate on Obamacare, and cut regulations...

Number 1 producer of oil and natural gas in the world.

A net exporter of energy - first time in 65 years.

Thankfully, I'm drinking during this...

The state of our union is strong.

An economic miracle is happening...

Ridiculous partisan investigations can stop this miracle... There can't be war and investigations... That's just weird... He needs to be investigated...

Nearly 300 individuals waiting to be confirmed by the Senate.

Criminal justice reform, which he seems to be taking credit for...

Story of Alice Johnson....

The First Step Act - gives non-violent offenders redemption.

The urgent national crisis - 10 days left to negotiate a deal to secure our very dangerous southern border.

Large organized caravans are on the way to the United States. I have ordered another 3,750 troops to the border. Defend our very dangerous southern border.

Tolerance for illegal immigration is cruel...

MS13 operates in 20 states...

Instilling fear with regard to the southern border.

A common sense proposal to Congress - physical barrier or wall... A proper wall, I will get it built.

A steel see-through barrier. - Where a wall goes up, illegal crossings go way way down.

With a powerful barrier in place, El Paso is now one of the safest cities... So not true.

"Walls work and walls save lives."

I need another drink...

More women in the workforce than ever before, and thanks to Democrats there are more women serving in Congress than anytime before.... who all dislike Donald Trump.

Calamitous trade policies... $250 billion in tariffs on Chinese goods. A new trade deal with China.
and the catastrophe known as NAFTA.

America's crumbling infrastructure... investments in the cutting edge industries of the future... doesn't mention what they are and then moved right to healthcare - prescription drugs and preexisting conditions.

Mitch McConnell looks sad... I guess his pharmaceutical donors won't be happy.

We will defeat AIDS in America and beyond...

The fight against childhood cancer...
$500 million for childhood cancer research and now it's time for school choice... non sequitur

I'm asking Congress to pass legislation on late-term abortions.  Cherishes innocent life, but not the separated children at the southern border... Hmmm.

$700 billion last year and $716 billion this year for the military. Allies need to pay their fair share - NATO...

Missile defense treaty with Russia - IMF Treaty. Not to mention that this is what Putin wants...

The Korean peninsula  - If I had not been elected we would be in a war with North Korea. He's meeting with Kim Jung Un again... twice!  Reckless foreign policy...

Calls for socialism in this country - we were born free and we will stay free. Of course the camera cuts to Bernie Sanders.
"America will never be a socialist country..." Ridiculous...

Principled realism in the Middle East... Opened the American Embassy in Jerusalem...
"Great nations do not fight endless wars."

Removing the troops from Syria... Even if you don't like that, we'd be leaving our allies out to dry and giving the Putin regime exactly what they want there by ceding influence.

18 years ago - the USS Cole attack... Happened in October 2000 FYI.

Defense against anti-semitism - honoring holocaust survivors and a SWAT team member from the Tree of Life synagogue tragedy... He's making up for his Charlottesville fine people on both sides comments... my cynical commentary aside it is genuinely a good thing to honor such individuals...

Look at the opportunities before us...
We do the incredible...
Re-ignite the American imagination...
I am asking you to choose greatness. We must go forward together...

If only he'd stop tweeting...










Sunday, February 03, 2019

2.3.19: Virginia Governor Ralph Northam Is a Lonely Pariah

Virginia Governor Ralph Northam's explanation for his past behavior from photos that have surfaced this week was unacceptable. As it is now, dawning black face in 1984 was offensive. As The Washington Post's Eugene Robinson clearly explained, everyone didn't do that at that time. It was offensive in 1984, and Rich Lowry's explanation that people's entire lives shouldn't be judged for moments of stupidity or offensiveness doesn't hold up.  Mr. Northam's statements in which he first apologized and then denied that it was not him in the photograph show that he is not truly contrite. Also in his press conference yesterday he explained that he was in a dance contest in San Antonio that same year wearing black face to imitate Michael Jackson and his moonwalk dance step. This admission damaged his credibility even further essentially making things even worse. Chuck Todd touched on the fact that Mr. Northam was familiar with the difficulty of removing shoe polish from one's face, which illustrates that he has some experience with this.

As the Chair of the Congressional Black Caucus Karen Bass (D-CA) stated, Mr. Northam hasn't been honest. This is very clear. Mr. Northam explained that remaining in office would be best so that the conversation on race can progress. However, Ms. Bass disagreed and that if he wants to continue the conversation, he should do so while not in office, to which Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) agreed. As Donald McEachin (D-VA) said flatly, there is nothing that Mr. Northam can do at this point to correct this and that he should step down, especially in the 400th year anniversary of Africans being brought to Jamestown, Virginia and enslaved. If Mr. Northam wants to be a leader, he should do what a real leader would and resign his office, or he will be the 'lonely pariah' as Hallie Jackson described.

This brings us to Senator Brown's statement about Mr. Trump that he is a racist president, to which Chuck Todd interrupted him to explain such a strong charge. However, Senator Brown made the case citing Mr. Trump's questioning of Barack Obama's citizenship and his actions during his business life and housing discrimination in New York City, of which Mr. Trump was found guilty. Not to mention that Mr. Trump's Charlottesville statements and less us not forget the Central Park Five rape case and how he called for the death penalty even after the men were exonerated. And to cap it off, there is the wall he wants on the southern border, which is rooted in his bigoted views.

Senator Rick Scott (R-FL) said that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Senate Minority leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) were not negotiating in good faith with the president inasmuch as they will not concede any money for a border wall. However, as much as Senator Scott said he wants a fix for TPS (citizens with temporary protective status) and the 'Dreamers,' these two issues are none starters for the president who will be accused by his base of granting amnesty to these groups.

As Chuck Todd pointed out, the president had these deals on his desk and he walked away from them so how can the Democrats be sure that he is negotiating in good faith and won't just blow up any made deal on a whim? Or the president can do what he usually does and falsely claim that 'we're building wall.' Hallie Jackson explained that it's a matter of semantics, but if you listen to the president speak, it makes you wonder about whatever happened to grammar. If the negotiations fall apart, the president will possibly declare a national emergency, which as Mr. Lowry described as just another way to lose, to which this column agrees but it would be a matter of all of us losing, not just the president.


Panel: Maria Teresa Kumar, CEO Voto Latino, Hallie Jackson, NBC News; Eugene Robinson, The Washington Post; Rich Lowry, The National Review; Mark Leibovich, The New York Times Magazine

A couple more things...
Senator Rick Scott said that with regard to Venezuela, no options should be taken off the table. However, U.S. military intervention is NOT the right course of action for the Administration to take. However, with the Trump Administration under such pressure from all of the its questionably ethical conduct (understating it), there remains the concern for a wag-the-dog decision. Not good.

Senator Brown mentioned Medicare for citizens at age 50. That's a great proposal.


Sunday, January 27, 2019

1.27.19: Clearly The Wrong Track, But At Least The Shutdown Is Over

After 35 days, the longest government shutdown in American history is finally over. Chuck Todd called it a 'temporary truce,' that is for now at least until February 15th when the continuing resolution ends. However, at the end of that time, there is no way the president forces another shutdown and survive politically. During the shutdown, the president said the 'buck stops with everyone,' but it doesn't. It indeed stops with him. With Mr. Trump reopening the government without money for his vanity border wall, the shutdown and the pain his administration caused was pointless... Pointless.

Without getting too much into the weeds with the 'winners and losers' in this shutdown fight suffice to say that politically President Trump and Republicans took at hit, Nancy Pelosi and Democrats came out on top, and the American people lost. Tom Brokaw explained that the shutdown, though partial, was more systemic than most people realized with farmers having to be in contact with government agriculture officials who weren't in. Things came to a head on Friday when air traffic at major airports was delayed. Mr. Brokaw also said that he didn't think the disconnect between the beltway and the rest of the country couldn't get any wider until this shutdown, however, that picture shouldn't be painted with as broad a brush as he used. Specifically, it was individuals in the Trump Administration that were completely out of touch namely the president's daughter-in-law Lara Trump and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, who put the final rhetorical stake in the insulting injury. "I don't know why government workers have to go to food pantries...,' which PBS's Yamiche Alcindor put in stark relief.

NBC's Kristen Welker explained that the Administration had no strategy or plan B going into the shutdown, which is how Mr. Trump likes to play it, but as we've painfully found out it is no way in which to run a country. All this coupled with the news that Mr. Trump's long-time political advisor Roger Stone was indicted on Friday for obstruction and lying to Congress among other things, 7 counts in all leaves the presidency in a shambles. If there is any silver lining (or perhaps just gray) to come out of all of this it is that the legislative branch of the U.S. government is asserting its duty again. For all the naysayers in the Democratic party of Nancy Pelosi's (D-CA) leadership when taking control of the House, she's been the best thing to happen for them (again) in combating Trump's erratic leadership and it has forced Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) to get off the sidelines and start leading his caucus instead of just following the president.

As far as House Minority leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) is concerned, he like other House Republicans is still blindly following the president saying that the president was the only one being reasonable in the negotiations. Really? How can the president be reasonable when he's not negotiating based on fact, just what he wants to believe. That's irrational. What was good to hear from the minority leader and Congressman Hakeen Jeffries (D-NY) was that Congress is considering legislation to stop shutting down the government. 

With all the dysfunction we've discussed, it was refreshing to see Chuck Todd and Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) have a rational discussion about border security and immigration. Political preferences aside, Mr. Rubio was part of the gang of eight in the Senate that put together a comprehensive immigration bill that had many elements of compromise, but at the time the Republican-controlled House didn't bring the legislation to the floor because of provisions that included a path to citizenship for the dreamers. They also discussed whether it would be better try and pass smaller measures or go big with something more comprehensive like the gang of eight bill. The problem at this juncture is that there isn't enough time to finalize anything, especially with the president being a wildcard when it comes to what he'll support and what he won't which can change from day to day.

Lastly, the indictment of Roger Stone has now shown the clearest link between Wikileaks and the Trump campaign. This has prompted many politicians on both sides of the aisle, in spite of the president's continued attacks, to support the Mueller investigation to its completion. The number of campaign officials and advisors indicted or who have pleaded guilty is simple untenable. It has clearly become a matter of 'what the president knew and when he knew it.' The key point in the indictment as Mr. Todd pointed out, is that a senior campaign official was directed to contact Stone about additional releases. This leaves the obvious questions of who was the senior campaign official and who directed that person? The fate of Mr. Stone withstanding, it seems these two individuals were too close to Mr. Trump for him not to know. When an indictment such as this prompts steadfast Trump supporter Hugh Hewitt to say that these two individuals might be going to jail with Roger Stone, you know there's serious trouble.

Finally, Mr. Todd featured a particular word cloud twice which featured the phrase 'wrong track' most prominently. In fact, 63 percent of Americans feel this way about the country. Nice hat, catchy slogan but it's now obvious that Mr. Trump isn't making America great again.


Panel: Yamiche Alcindor, PBS; Kristen Welker, NBC News; Tom Brokaw, NBC News; Hugh Hewitt, Salem Radio Network


Sunday, January 20, 2019

1.20.19: The President Is Holding America Hostage

With regard to the on-going government shutdown, now in its 30th day, let's consider a few perspectives taken from today's program. First, American Enterprise Institute's Danielle Pletka explained that with the state given by President Trump yesterday, he has moved in offering some concessions to the Democrats, like 3-year temporary relief for DACA individuals and temporary status for immigrants seeking asylum. This is something the hard right has already called 'giving amnesty.' However, she ignored the core argument of the shutdown, which NBC's Heidi Przybyla clarified, which was that the Democrats are not going to negotiate border security while the government is shuttered. Virginia Senator Mark Warner (D) described it as hostage-taking and that Democrats will not negotiate under those circumstances.

Mr. Warner makes the correct argument inasmuch that if Democrats give into the president and his demand for a wall, what that means is that they have rewarded the Mr. Trump for unreasonable action, in order to end the shutdown. It sets a bad precedent in negotiating that any time the president wants something and doesn't get it, he will shutdown the government. To that end, Mr. Warner has it correct - first, open the government and then negotiate on border security, which runs counter to what Congresswoman Liz Cheney (R-WY) said in first getting border security and then opening the government. Ms. Przybyla also noted that there has been talk from the hard right about another shutdown over funding for Planned Parenthood - cut it off or shutdown the government again.

On both sides of the border, the president has shown no sympathy for the dignity of humanity. His administration has punished and dehumanized migrants and asylum seekers by separating people from their children and locking them in cages, while on this side of the border he has created hardships for not only the 800,000 federal employees but millions if you count their families and the businesses that economically rely on their business. The stories of hardship are innumerable, in which the president and he alone deserves the blame. His callousness has only served to hurt hardworking Americans.

As the panel discussed, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and the Democratic leadership are fighting for the principal of not giving into the hostage taking that the president is committed to. Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is willing to sit on the sideline and wait for Democratic capitulation as he's only interested in a political win. We know this because in the two years that the president presided over a completely Republican-controlled congress there was no sense of urgency for the wall and no threat of a government shutdown. If it was so urgent why didn't Mr. Trump force the issue then when he had the votes? Reason: Because there is no emergency as the president describes it at the southern border.

Ms. Cheney explained that Republicans voted for paying people while still having the government shuttered, but this is like putting a Band-Aid on a severed limb, only marginally helping individuals forced to return to work but not the hundreds of thousands have been furloughed. When the shutdown ends, which as NPR's Joshua Johnson mentioned none of us knows when that will be, the president will be the face of the pain it's inflicted.

The blame for all this disfunction squarely sits with Donald Trump. Hard stop. Not only has he taken 800,000 government workers hostage, he's taken all of us hostage.

The rest of us suffer through the president's personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani continually changing the story on how the president or his campaign interacted with Russia. Not only did Mr. Giuliani deny that he said that there was never any collusion with Russia by the campaign earlier this week on CNN, today he said that the president had discussions about a Trump Tower Moscow project as late as October 2016, maybe even into November, which runs contrary to what the president had said during the campaign. Discussions about the project are 'dealings.' To use a word that Mr. Trump and Mr. Giuliani are fond of, the various entanglements the Trumps have had with Russia are disgraceful.

Mr. Giuliani even contradicted himself in today's interview when he first said that the president denies ever having the 'take it easy of Flynn' conversation with then FBI Director James Comey and then less than two minutes later he said that when the president had the conversation with Mr. Comey about Michael Flynn that did not amount to obstruction. 'Moving the goal posts' isn't an apt description because it suggests that this is some kind of game. It's anything but, and all Mr. Giuliani is doing and he knows it, is trying to create confusion for what is surely nefarious activity on the part of Donald Trump.


Panel: Heidi Przybyla, NBC; Danielle Pletka, American Enterprise Institute; Joshua Johnson, NPR; Peter Baker, The New York Times

One more thing...
This is what Donald Trump has wrought upon our country...






Boys from a Catholic school in MAGA hats mocking a native American. Hardly great... There are other words to describe this but this blog has a sense of decorum. A Kentucky diocese has already apologized for this incident. Should have never happened...

ABC News Story


Sunday, January 13, 2019

1.13.19: Donald Trump Is Leading Us Into Uncharted and Devastating Terrain

"A producer would reject it," The Wall Street Journal's Peggy Noonan said in response to Chuck Todd's assertion that the FBI opening a counterintelligence investigation into the President of the United States was like a bad Hollywood movie script.

But this is where we are...

Donald Trump is taking this country into all kinds of unknown dangerous terrain on several different levels, the first of which to address is what is now the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, with federal workers now having missed their first paycheck. In listening to both Senators Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Time Kaine (D-VA) during their respective interviews, both sides are blaming the other for rejecting bills that would have kept the government open. Even if there is ambiguity on which party is at fault, there is certainty that the Republicans in the Senate were prepared to vote on a Continuing Resolution that the president squashed by tweeting that he would reject such a bill. The biggest obstructing factor in this situation is the president, himself.

The wall or barrier is a vanity project of the president's that the majority of Americans do not support. Even many Trump supporters on the Texas border do not support it, but it was Mr. Trump's loudest promise on during the campaign so he's being egged on by xenophobic right-wing media while he has effectively stifled Republicans in congress afraid of their base that has been taken over by Mr. Trump. What was equally loud was Mr. Trump's promise was that Mexico was going to pay for the wall, which he is now walking back with a nuanced answer that through the new trade deal, they will, but the reality of that is the money won't go into the Treasury, instead to private corporations, and Americans will still float the bill.  The wall should not be built on the backs of U.S. taxpayers. Hard stop.

In terms of declaring a national emergency, the president circumvent Congress and have the military, Army Corps of Engineers, built the wall. The president has said that "I may do it... I have the absolute right to do it... I'd rather not do it. Congress should easily do it." However, if it were really an emergency, wouldn't the president have made this declaration already? It's obviously not an emergency, or as Chuck Todd explained, the president is threatening a national emergency because of his political emergency.

On the heels of the New York Times story that the FBI opened up an unprecedented counterintelligence investigation into Mr. Trump and his relationship to Russia, we learn from the Washington Post that the president has gone to unusual lengths to keep the transcripts of his private meetings with Vladimir Putin secret from everyone in government including his senior staff in the White House. At this point, no one can say that the president has nothing to hide. He's hiding the transcripts! As NBC's Carol Lee explained, though it's not being said publicly, Republicans in Washington are concerned. And despite what defenses Senator Cruz offered today with regard to Mr. Trump's 'actions' of being tough on Russia. (As an aside: Mr. Cruz has no credibility when discussing a government shutdown, as the one he orchestrated in 2013 was purely political.) If the administration is being tough on Russia why did the Treasury Department seek to quietly lift sanctions on Russian Oligarch Oleg Deripaska in December? When Treasury Secretary was brought before Congress this week in a closed-door meeting and asked about it, he apparently didn't have a good answer.

As the New York Times Michael Schmidt explained, we now know that the FBI investigation, which the Mueller probe has now inherited, was two-pronged with the obstruction and collusion. The FBI was worried that the president may be an witting or unwitting asset of the Kremlin. Lawfare's Ben Wittes added that the FBI saw the investigations in a light that we should all should focus our attention, and that is that the obstruction - the firing of James Comey, the president's attempts to shutdown the Mueller investigation and his continued attempts to discredit law enforcement - and the collusion are linked. The obstruction of the investigation is part of the collusion with President Trump trying to prevent the FBI from figuring out what happened in the 2016 election.

As Mr. Wittes stated flatly: The investigation into Trump is about Russia. Full stop. Uncharted and devastating terrain indeed.


Panel: Peggy Noonan, The Wall Street Journal; Carol Lee, NBC; Al Cardenas, Republican Strategist; Cornell Belcher, Democratic Strategist


Sunday, January 06, 2019

1.6.19: So Much for the Great Negotiator

We're in the 16th day of the latest government shutdown and a quick end doesn't look likely. Both sides are entrenched in their positions with new House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) saying that "a wall is an immorality," and the president threatening to enact emergency powers, diverting pentagon funds, to get it built.

If the president were to deploy the military to build a wall, wouldn't it be a needless misappropriation of funds and resources? Not to mention that the border is not a military emergency, despite what the president says. Also, Newly appointed Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney called the situation at our southern border a 'crisis.' It's not a crisis of people coming in, but what is really the crisis is the inhuman way the administration has been caging and housing new arrivals. 

For a self-proclaimed 'great negotiator' President Trump has certainly backed himself into the proverbial corner. Mr. Mulvaney stated that the $2.5 billion dollar deal that the vice president had discussed with Senate Majority Mitch McConnell (R-TN) wasn't what the president wanted. This, in turn, lead to Mr. McConnell's bringing a vote to the floor of the senate that the president wouldn't sign, in essence embarrassing the Tennessee senator. Now, feeling that burn, Mr. McConnell will not bring any vote to the senate floor that the president won't sign. What this really says is that Mr. McConnell doesn't think that the president can be held to his word via his second in command Mike Pence.

As New York Times columnist David Brooks explained the obvious deal is border security money in exchange for a DACA deal (path to citizenship for the dreamers), which Senator Susan Collin (R-ME) also mentioned was voted on last March. However, because of the outcry from right-wing radio and television pundits, Mr. Trump backed away from such a deal and now insists on $5.6 billion for a wall or the government will not reopen.

[Aside: whether concrete or steel, it's still a wall.]

As House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-MD) pointed out, the Democrats this week voted on a Republican to keep the government open, but again Senator McConnell will not take up the bill because the president won't sign it, which only serves to alienate senate Republicans further. And when Chuck Todd asked Mr. Mulvaney what concession the president was willing to give the Democrats to make a deal happen, he said that the president agreed to take a concrete structure off the table. Really? Who would even take that concession seriously? Mr. Mulvaney also said that the president is interested in something more comprehensive, but as Kasie Hunt outlined, a bigger fix is simply not in play in such a short time.

So far three Republican senators have come out publicly to urge the president to reopen government and then continue negotiating on border security - Cory Gardner (R-CO), Thom Tillis (R-NC) and Susan Collins, who said that shutting down the government as a means to a policy end is never a good idea. All three of these senators will face difficult reelection challenges in 2020. Also, keep in mind what for Congresswoman Donna Edwards said that 80 percent of the government workers affected by the shutdown are outside Washington DC, approximately 640,000 people who are most likely already going to miss one pay check. If the shutdown goes until the 25th of January, that will be two. In other words a month of working without getting paid, a situation that will quickly become untenable.

Washington Free Beacon's Matthew Continetti said that the president is fixated on his base, which will be soon impacted greatly by this shutdown. However, for someone so focused on 35 percent of the population (his base), he sure seems to NOT be doing them a solid. Even in rural America, a large part of the president's base, he's hurting them as the trade war with China continues to do damage to their bottom line and soybean crops sit in silos unsold - U.S. farmers losing billions of dollars. Mr. Trump hasn't made the best deal for them, that much is clear. Not to mention companies like Harley Davidson and Jack Daniel's being hurt by retaliatory tariffs in Europe.

These are real estate deals where it's two-sided and if you don't like the terms, you can walk away. When you walk away from deals as the President of the United States, hundreds of thousands of people get hurt, the people you took an oath to serve.


Panel: Kasie Hunt, NBC; fmr. Congresswoman Donna Edwards; David Brooks, the New York Times; Matthew Continetti, the Washington Free Beacon


One more thing...
For now, cooler heads in the Democratic party are prevailing on impeachment talk, as they should. Once the Mueller report comes out, then the pieces will all start falling into place so while Democrats are conducting rigid oversight of this administration (sorely needed), it's politically best to wait until then.



Sunday, December 30, 2018

12.30.18: Special Edition - Climate Change

At the top of this special edition of "Meet The Press" focusing on climate change, Chuck Todd clearly stated that there is no debate, it's real and that none of the hour's time would be given to denying this reality. This column couldn't agree more with that fact that climate change is real, the planet is warming and humans are the cause. However, even in not giving any air time to deniers, it is those deniers in Congress that hung like a specter over the conversation. During the 'Data Download' segment later in the program, Mr. Todd outlined that today 15% of Republicans in Congress believe the crisis of climate change is real; that percentage is unchanged from 1999 when the question was first asked.

Congressman Carlos Curbelo (R-FL) said that there needs to be national policy on climate change to address the problem even though local and state municipalities along with the private sector are taking steps to address the problem. The reason we need national policy is because climate change affects every part of the country - red and blue if you want to frame it in those terms - as the panel discussed.

As Mr. Curbelo explained, in Florida the lunar high tide floods the streets of Miami once a month with no additional rainfall. Governor Jerry Brown (D-CA) explained that the wildfire season used to be in the summer into part of the fall, but now it's all year round. The scorched earth deforestation from fires leaves areas susceptible to mud slides because there's no vegetation to absorb water. This year we saw the most devastating fires in the state's history - 86 people killed and 14,000 homes destroyed. And when asked if he did enough as governor, Mr. Brown stated clearly that though he did a lot, it wasn't nearly enough.

Additionally, Governor Brown explained that in France with its yellow vest protests, a reference point Mr. Todd used too often, that President Macron made the grave mistake of giving a tax break to the wealthy and then wanted to institute a gas tax, which is really a sales tax on ordinary working people. In that context, French citizens have every justification to protest. In California, Governor Brown taxed the wealthy and then proceeded with a gas tax. Mr. Brown said that we have to get away from 'it's the economy, stupid' type of thinking as it's more about the ecology. This column disagrees only inasmuch as to say that it's the economy of now, stupid, but the economy of the future. Ecology now saves the economy for the future.

Former FEMA Director under the Obama Administration and Florida Director of Emergency Management under Jeb Bush Craig Fugate explained that the $100 billion spent in disaster relief last year could be money saved or reinvested in infrastructure. He also mentioned that Hurricane Michael flooded a hanger that destroyed all the F22 military aircraft housed there, meaning more billions sacrificed.

Which brings us to the military which is planning for climate change contingencies. Former Under Secretary of Defense, Michele Flournoy explained that 50% of U.S. military bases abroad need to renovate and prepare for changing climate conditions. The other military factor she mentioned was Arctic ice melt and newly open water areas, which Russia and China are already trying to control for their own.

NASA's Kate Marvel said we should feel a bit overwhelmed because the science is overwhelming. The urgency is all encompassing and to have the entire country thinking in these terms, it starts with leadership. Leadership that need to come from the top, but frankly isn't. When asked about the climate report that 13 Administration agencies put together, President Trump said, "I don't believe it." The specter of denial that endangers our future.


Panel: Former Under Secretary of Defense Michele Flournoy; Former FEMA Director under the Obama Administration and Florida Director of Emergency Management under Jeb Bush Craig Fugate; NASA Scientist Kate Marvel; Florida Congressman Carlos Curbelo (R); Anne Thompson, NBC News

One more thing...
Everyone have a safe, happy and healthy New Year's!!! See you on the flip side of the new year.

Sunday, December 23, 2018

12.23.18: Our Mad President

"'Tis the time's plague when madmen lead the blind."
                                                               -Earl of Gloucester from King Lear


If it couldn't get any worse, the president capped off the year appropriately with a partial government shutdown. However, in the days leading up to this concluding event did not bode well for Mr. Trump either.

What's amazing is that the president seems to listen and take advice from everyone, anyone, who is not in his government. In a call with Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the Turkish president recommended that the U.S. pull completely out of Syria and shortly after, Mr. Trump announced just that. The president had a deal for a C.R. (continuing resolution) to keep the government open and then listened to the right-wing fringe of his party with regard to the wall then announced "no deal," and hence we have a shutdown.

This was just in the past week.

Never mind that 17 U.S. intelligence agencies informed the Mr. Trump that Russia interfered in the 2016 election but he listened to Vladimir Putin instead. And the president also deferred to Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman with regard to the murder of Jamal Khashoggi again over his own CIA. After all this, it's crystal clear that Mr. Trump is incapable of making a decision for himself and is listening to either the rational or even the irrational actors in his administration. He's taking his cues from autocrats and right-wing talk show hosts.

Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) said that we have an impulsive president but would work with him where he could. It's a reasonable answer but these are times beyond reason. To Mr. Toomey's credit, when Chuck Todd asked him if he was disturbed by the fact that President Trump was changing foreign U.S. foreign policy away from what every president since WWII has followed, the Pennsylvania senator answered with an unequivocal 'yes.' He also said that senators (Republican) need to step up. And Syria and the subsequent resignation of General James Mattis just may be been the breaking point for Republican senators who have so far followed the president blindly down a dangerous path. Who likes the president's decision in Syria? Erdogan so that he can crush the Kurds, a steadfast U.S. ally in the region, and Vladimir Putin so that Russia can have free reign in the Middle East. Neither Democratic nor Republican senators are in favor of this decision.

As for the shutdown due to the lack of funding president's physical border wall, the Democrats have flatly said 'no' to it, as they should. The the right-wing doesn't mention is that Mr. Trump promised that Mexico would pay for the wall, so why should American taxpayers float the bill? Answer: They shouldn't. Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL) explained the 1 in 5 trucks that cross the border are checked in terms of their cargo. The system to check them all would cost $300 million, which is a lot less than the $5 billion that the president wants for an ineffective physical wall. Additionally, the president wants the wall to be made of steel, but because of the tariffs the president put in place, steel is now more expensive. The entire argument is utterly ridiculous.

As PBS's Yamiche Alcindor explained, sends Mr. Trump into a rage is that he's losing the messaging. Despite what he says about how the Democrats should take the blame for the shutdown, he owns it. With Republicans still in control of all branches of government and a shutdown still occurs, it's on the president. The Syria pullout, which even "Fox & Friends" took issue with, was the last straw for General Mattis so he resigned that the covered was brutal for Mr. Trump. Senator Durbin mentioned that foreign dignitaries were calling up senators asking, "What the hell is going on?"

The Cook Political Report's Amy Walter pointed out that the president wants to fight, not fix and that impulsiveness is not working, the latter qualifying as the understatement of the year - just look at the stock market reacting to the madness of the president.

It's time Republicans in Congress peel off the blinders and take a good hard, realistic look at what the president is doing to this country.



Panel: Amy Walter, Cook Political Report; Yamiche Alcindor, PBS; Joshua Johnson, NPR; Hugh Hewitt, Salem Radio Network

One more thing...

Everyone have a safe Merry Christmas and Happy Holiday!!!!