Sunday, November 04, 2018

11.4.18: Two Days To Go and The Stakes Couldn't Be Higher

Given Donald Trump's win in 2016, predictions for this election cycle are tepid at best. No one wants to go too far out on a limb, as was the case in this special election edition of "Meet The Press." This was summed up by Democratic pollster Cornell Belcher admitting that he doesn't trust the polls because of what happened in 2016 and due to the extraordinary turnout in early voting.

With that in mind there were a few things that stood out from today's interviews that will end up being significant in who controls the House and Senate after the polls close on Tuesday. First, Senator Chris Van Hollen said that Democrats can not go 0 for 4 in the Senate races of Missouri, Tennessee, North Dakota and Texas. That's significant because that could very well be the case.

To break down what we've seen so far, accounting for high turnout for both parties, Marsha Blackburn will take the seat over Phil Bredesen in Tennessee because Mr. Bredesen who should be leading has run a tentative campaign having had to modulate between Republican and Democratic held positions too much where Ms. Blackburn can simply stay on the hard right. In North Dakota, Heidi Heitcamp can still win if she gets the voter turnout. To contradict what Hugh Hewitt said about Brett Kavanaugh being a factor in Senate races, that's not going to be the deciding factor in North Dakota. In Missouri, the Kavanaugh factor could play a part, but ultimately again, not a big part. Let's face it, the man is on the Supreme Court so Republicans got what they wanted. Senate Democrats on the Judiciary Committee did not act inappropriately in the joint hearings with Dr. Blasey-Ford and Judge Kavanaugh. If you watched those hearings the accusatory voices where those of Republicans (e.g. Senator Lindsey Graham) and Mr. Kavanaugh himself who acted inappropriately when Democrats asked him questions. And though this column has respect for Tom Brokaw, his anecdote that suburban women who have sons are turning back to the Republican party because of Kavanaugh doesn't really float. At this point in this day and age, if those suburban mothers haven't talked to their sons about sexual assault, it reflects poorly on them. With that said, Claire McCaskill can still pull out the race, but as with all her races it will be close.

That's leaves us with Texas, which conventional wisdom would dictate that Ted Cruz will prevail but who knows... Mr. O'Rourke has certainly run the better campaign but that may not be enough though he is the better face for the future of Texas. Also, even though Mr. Cruz may still hold on, he certainly doesn't deserve to win. Donald Trump disparaged his wife and said that his father took part in JFK's assassination yet Mr. Cruz still in the end kissed his ass, frankly. That's simply not Texas, but...

As for governor's races, most of the attention has rightly focused on Georgia and Florida, to which President Trump has said that neither Democratic candidate is qualified to hold office - this coming from a man with no political or governmental administrative experience. In fact, the two Democratic candidates in those respective races, Stacey Abrams in Georgia and Andrew Gillum in Florida are the most qualified. In Florida, Ron DeSantis was a congressman and has no experience running a municipality whereas Mr. Gillum is the mayor of the state's capital, Tallahassee. In Georgia, as Ms. Abrams outlined in her interview today, she is clearly the most qualified having worked across the aisle in Georgia's state legislature and as an administrator. Despite the race being a toss-up due to the fact that the state leans Republican and her opponent Secretary of State Brian Kemp's prior attempts to suppress the vote, Ms. Abrams is well positioned. Additionally, Mr. Kemp should hope that if he wins it's with a 50% majority because if not the race goes to a run-off which will only put a brighter spotlight on the race - something that will not be to his benefit.

Then there are the House races, which by all prognosticating favor the Democrats. No where is Donald Trump more on the ballot than Houses races are concerned and control of the House will most certainly reflect the country's assessment of Mr. Trump's job performance in his first two years in office. The majority of Americans do not subscribe to the fear and loathing that Mr. Trump has brought to the office of the presidency. The continual race-baiting, fear, lying and misogyny will catch up to him and Tuesday could be the day where the American people speak in opposition to all of it. Or at least that's the message that should be sent. Kasie Hunt said that suburb women should not be underestimated in this regard as to their power to dictate the outcome of these midterms and that is truly the case. Instead of how Mr. Brokaw outlined it, suburb women will be the loudest voice in rebuking the president's behavior in office.

Something Tom Brokaw did say should also resonate with Americans and that is that we are slaughtering our own citizens with greater frequency. Mr. Trump is incapable of speaking to this in an heart-felt way and Americans know it. His callousness has been grossly on display especially when he says that the 'bomb' stuff and the mass murder of Jewish Americans in Pittsburgh has slowly the momentum for Republicans in the midterms.

In addition, the trajectory of healthcare is a bigger factor and given the sustained conversation about it since the passage of the Affordable Care Act it is foremost in voters minds. The bottom line is that with all the votes taken up by Republicans to repeal the ACA in full, which includes protections for pre-existing conditions, the electorate is not confident that those will be maintained. And as stated before in this column, if there are maintained by Republicans premiums will essentially go up where millions will be priced out of the market.

Mr. Trump has refused to or is in capable of leading American as one nation so only divided government can put the prop checks in place and that means a Democratically controlled House, which looks likely - said with extremely cautious optimism.

If that's not the outcome, American democracy will take a turn for the worse.


Panel: Kasie Hunt, NBC News; Savannah Guthrie, "The Today Show;" Cornell Belcher, Democratic Strategist; Hugh Hewitt, Salem Radio Network; Tom Brokaw, NBC News


One more thing...
VOTE! VOTE! VOTE!
(It's your civic duty.)


Sunday, October 28, 2018

10.28.18: At the End of a Sad and Tragic Week...

Sadly, it's difficult to feel optimistic that things will get better and say that this tragic week in American history is a culmination of sorts as opposed to a next step in the escalating of anger and hatred in this country. This statement is profoundly more sad when you consider that yesterday we witnessed in horror of the worst anti-Semitic attack in U.S. history.

It's almost paralyzing to write because processing the events of this week are so overwhelming, and today's interviews on "Meet The Press" offered no comfort.

In a joint interview with the respective chairs of the House Congressional Committees, Ben Ray Lujan (D-NM) and Steve Stivers (R-OH) responsible for getting candidates in their parties elected, the dialogue strode the edge of civility as Mr. Stivers initiated an attack on his Democratic counterpart for defending what he said were Democratic candidates who have made bigoted statements.  He did have to go there, especially today, but he did. Also, Mr. Stivers defended an ad running in Minnesota that demonizes George Soros, to which he simply said that ad was factually accurate but when you watch the ad, the tone clearly implies insidious motives.

https://youtu.be/hU00BW-trLo

That Mr. Stivers could defend this ad against a Holocaust survivor in the wake of a bomb threat and a heinous mass shooting hate crime in which 11 people were killed at the Tree of Life Synagogue in Pittsburgh is beyond the pale.

As The Cook Political Report's Amy Walter explained, no one wants to take responsibility, and 'everyone' is to blame. She went on to say that as a candidate, it's a zero-sum game to win the election, but once the person is in elected office the presidency in particular, you have to be a unifying force. But President Trump has no interest in unifying the country, especially not now with 9 days to go before the midterm elections. Elections that will dictate the trajectory of the rest of his first term.

The week started with a bomb being mailed to billionaire George Soros, then escalated to a total of 13 bombs being mailed to prominent Democratic politicians, prominent Trump critics and CNN. This act of domestic terrorism propelled the ATF, FBI, NYPD and NYFD along with U.S. Post Office Security into high alert. Two of the bomb targets were two former first couples, Mr. and Mrs. Obama and Mr. and Mrs. Clinton. When asked if he would call the former presidents to offer support, Mr. Trump said he would pass. And even given the bomb threats (before Saturday's shooting), Mr. Trump was also asked if he should tone down his divisive rhetoric, to which he answered he could actually 'tone it up,' as NBC's Kristen Welker reported.

Fox News and right-wing talk radio, specifically Rush Limbaugh, forwarded false flag theories, that these bomb threats were perpetrated by liberals. To digress for a moment, Rush Limbaugh is a blowhard and the reason for that description is because 15 hours a week attacking some people and making others angry, but never offers any solutions. With no solutions, you're just part of the problem.

Also, let's also point out the in Kentucky this week, two African-Americans were shot dead at a Kroger's supermarket in a racially motivated attack. The perpetrator's initial target was an African-American community church with the goal to kill more people. (https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/26/us/kentucky-kroger-shooting/index.html).

Jonathan Greenblatt, president of the Anti-Defamation League said that in 2017, there has a 57 percent rise in anti-Semitic acts, and through social media bigoted, racist and anti-Semitic language has increased exponentially just about putting it into the mainstream.

Dissertations and books discussing how we've gotten to this place as a society are in infinite supply, to be sure, but let's face it, though President Trump is a symptom of this digression, he's done nothing to combat the downward spiral. Many make the argument like conservative commentator Charlie Sykes, cited today, who called the president the 'arsonist in chief.' Alas, as Resurgent editor-in-chief Erick Erickson said, the president isn't going to change, which means the leadership has to come from someplace else. But where?

There's one president and he's the authority, as Joshua Jackson clearly put it. This means that he has to be the president for all the American people, and his after-the-fact perfunctory statements just don't cut it. These statements are especially galling considering that after the president offers a form of 'thoughts and prayers' he goes right back to attacks opponents as un-American and as some form of evil, along with his consistent demonizing of the 'other,' (see all his statements on immigration).

As long as the president sows divisive rhetoric refusing to take the mantle of trying to heal our differences, tragic and truly sad weeks like this will continue to plague this country.


Panel: Kristen Welker, NBC News; Joshua Jackson, NPR; Amy Walter, The Cook Political Report; Erick Erickson, The Resurgent


Sunday, October 21, 2018

10.21.18: What's Really at Stake in These Midterms

Let's start off on a good note.

It was pleasantly refreshing to hear Senators Dick Durbin (D-IL) and Thom Tillis (R-NC) agree that Saudi Arabia's explanation on what to Washington Post columnist Jamal Kashoggi, that it was just not credible that a 59 year-old journalist got into a brawl with 15 Saudi security agents that resulted in his death.

While understandably Mr. Tillis was a bit more measured in his comments because of common party affiliation with the president, he did state that it looks like Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman was involved in the decision to kill Mr. Khashoggi and that the Saudis need to be held accountable. More and more, it seems as though senators of both parties hold a position that is in opposition to the president.

Senator Durbin stated that the United States should immediately expel the Saudi ambassador until a full investigation has been conducted, the facts come to light and the Saudis are held accountable. Senators of both parties would agree with this action, however, the president has been dragging his feet on coming out on the side of the U.S. intelligence service. It begs the question of why, which can be easily answered.

President Trump's and, for that matter, Jared Kushner's financial ties to the Saudis is compromising the administration's ability to make decisions that represent American values. That's saying it politely. In other words, the president is violating the Constitution of the United States, specifically the emoluments clause, by accepting Saudi money to his businesses. Obviously, the Mr. Trump doesn't want to personally upset the Saudi government or it will divest from his businesses. Once again, Mr. Trump is compromised in his decision making because he is putting personal profit over the interests of the United States. Yes, it's that clear and simple.

What's not clear and simple is predicting the upcoming midterm elections. As Christian Broadcast Network News' David Brody said, the biggest issue on the table is anger, and which side - Republican or Democrat - has more of it. The panel all agreed that there needs to be someone to bring people together to calm the situation, and though Peggy Noonan disagreed with Chuck Todd that person should be the president, it should be. However, the difference with Donald Trump and every other president that has proceeded him is that he has no aspiration to be the president for all Americans. He'll never let up on pitting individuals against one another. Even if the right-wing and left-wing press together called a truce along with politicians of all stripes, it's the president that truly wields the influence when trying to bring people together. Mr. Trump has no interest whatsoever in that.

Both sides are fired up, there is no doubt and what we're going to see if the next 16 days before the vote is that constituents are going to come home to their usual respective parties, with one big exception - women. Women will decide these primaries, specifically suburban women and women of color, as pointed out by Eugene Robinson. Millennial turnout will once again be low and for the most part, minority turnout (with the exception of black women) will also be lackluster.

 Senator Tillis said that it can be rationalized that the huge tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans, predominantly, will pay for themselves, but Republicans are not running on tax cuts, because let's face it, the game is up and the populace isn't buying it anymore. The warning to Republicans, as Peggy Noonan explained, is that in a time where there haven't been any new wars and with the economy doing well, the president can not get his approval rating over 50 percent. Republicans have been supplying the argument that the president is getting results despite the deeply divisive nature of how he's going about it. However, given Ms. Noonan's point, the president's words do matter greatly.

Healthcare has become a central issue for the Democrats as that what most of the electorate, justifiably so, is concerned about. Republicans are saying that they want to repeal the Affordable Care Act but keep protections for preexisting conditions. As this column pointed out last week, there will be no way to pay for it, and people with preexisting conditions will be essentially priced out of the market. Democrats, this time around, are now embracing the ACA as they should have been doing all along. It's ok to say that it's not perfect and fixes are needed, but at the same time the basis tenets of the bill are beneficial to ordinary people.

Sticking with conventional wisdom, the Senate will most likely stay in Republican control. However, if the House doesn't flip to Democratic control, here's what will happen: Mitch McConnell as he stated this week will start the 'need' to get the federal budget under control. The federal budget has been blown up with an unnecessary Republican tax cut. So how does Mr. McConnell propose to control spending? He's stated that Medicaid, Medicare, and Social Security be 'reformed.' In other words, those programs need to be cut.

Those programs are all tied to healthcare and that's really the main stake in this midterm election.


Panel: Peggy Noonan, The Wall Street Journal; Katy Tur, MSNBC; Eugene Robinson, The Washington Post; David Brody, Christian Broadcast Network News


One more thing...
Scaramucci has he was concerned about what happen with Jamal Khashoggi (he didn't mention him by name) and the Saudi government, but that he still sending a representative from his financial firm, Skybridge Capital, to Saudi Arabia for the financial conference. In other words, the only thing he cares about is money. This guy is so disingenuous that there is really no reason to ever take him seriously.

Sunday, October 14, 2018

10.14.18: Democrats Need To Take Control of the Narrative

Democrats, if they want to be successful in these midterm elections, need to take back control of the narrative. When you listen to Josh Hawley, senate candidate against incumbent Claire McCaskill in Missouri, you hear him say how awfully Senate Democrats on the Judiciary Committee behaved and the ensuing 'mob' behavior.

First, note to women: When Republican men, the only ones using this language, say 'mob' they are referring to you! Women.

Let that sink in and think about how you feel. They're saying that women whose pleas to be heard about sexual assault and being ignored are an angry mob.

In terms of the behavior on the Senate Judiciary Committee, Democrats asked tough questions, relevant questions of Judge Kavanaugh, not once yelling at or insulting him. Yet, Judge Kavanaugh rudely interrupted female Democratic senators, in particular asking Senate Amy Klobuchar  (D-MN) if she ever blacked out from drinking. Completely inappropriate. And this was all before Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) completely debased himself with his 'I hope you never get power' rant. Mr. Graham used to be a politician that even though he disagreed with his policy positions, you could respect, but no longer. Now, he's simply a sycophantic suck-up to Donald Trump. Mr. Graham, no doubt, is angling for the Attorney General job.

Women, the angry mob, really? How about Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) saying that Republicans would 'plow through' the nomination. More like 'plow over' women, not take seriously a word they have to say and push through Mr. Kavanaugh. That's mob mentality...

And to that point, Mr. Todd interviewed Stacey Abrams, running in Georgia to be the first African-American female governor in the country. And what is her opponent Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp doing? Suppressing the vote by withholding 53,000 voter registrations, 70 percent of which are for people of color. In Texas, Andrea Mitchell explained that Hispanic turn-out will probably not be as strong as it should be because legal or not, they don't want to register because they are afraid of ICE and the government.

If this midterm election is a choice between judges and healthcare, as Mr. Hawley outlined, healthcare is the winner. The energy that Republicans tout from the Kavanaugh confirmation is anecdotal and really won't translate into voters at the polls. However, if Democrats let that stand and don't take back the narrative, their turn-out will indeed be dampened as well. Thus the conventional wisdom that Democrats will take back the House will be in jeopardy. Mr. Hawley also said that you can repeal Obamacare and yet mandate insurance companies by law not to deny coverage for preexisting conditions. The government could do that but price controls would go out the window! Insurance companies would reject anyone with preexisting conditions but they would set the cost, the monthly premium, so high that millions would be priced out of the market. He conveniently doesn't mention that.

Democrats need to take control of the discourse in the next 25 days so that they reestablish their chances for taking the Senate as well. The energy is on their side if they are bold enough to harness it because as it stands right now, Democratic strategists are doing a disservice to candidates like Beto O'Rourke in Texas and Phil Bredesen in Tennessee.

Part of this is putting the president's ethics back front and center. NBC's Carol Lee explained that the president is feeling pretty good at the moment because the president's scandals are not a focal point at the moment.

And two more fresh examples of the president's unfitness for office are front and center this week. President Trump hasn't made any strong statements for the people and communities devastated by Hurricane Michael and is planning to visit this upcoming week. There has been no sense of urgency on behalf of the administration to address this disaster - at least that's how it's playing out in his media narrative.

The second is the disappearance of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi, who went in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul on October 1 and never left. Mr. Trump is clearly facing a difficult political situation with Saudi Arabia but is reluctant to sanction them because of what he says is a large arms deal. Basically, he is sacrificing American principles for money. In other words, money is more important to him than the principles for which this country has stood for over 240 years.  And let's be clear, money not for the country, his money. Saudis have given millions upon millions of dollars in real estate purchases in Trump properties. Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) said that if it is proven that the Saudis did indeed kill Mr. Khashoggi then Congress will act swiftly and decisively in a bipartisan manner, which will isolate the president and his position. The money that Mr. Trump personally stands to lose if Congress sanctions Saudi Arabia creates a clear conflict of interest. The administration has a legal obligation to investigate which Mr. Trump doesn't want to do. Not to mention the fact that Mr. Trump has violated the Constitution by taking emoluments from the Saudi government.

Government's function is to serve the people, not serve itself. However, with Republicans in power that's exactly what they're doing - enabling a thoroughly corrupt president and serving themselves to have absolute power. Democrats don't need to kick them when Republicans go low, they just need to shout the truth - LOUD.


Panel: Andrea Mitchell, NBC News; Carol Lee, NBC News; Peter Baker, The New York Times; Lanhee Chen, Stanford University



One more thing...
Kanye West and Jim Brown are fools if they think for one minute that President Trump cares one iota about the plight of people of color in this country. How these two men can support him simply defies common sense and decency. Just an off-the-cuff opinion.



Sunday, October 07, 2018

10.7.18: The Civil Cold War Is Official

Brett Kavanaugh has been confirmed to the United States Supreme Court... in the closest vote in 137 years.

You have to let that sink in because it is, indeed, the reality now.

No matter what side of the aisle you're on, we have to move on despite the fact that all this confirmation process did was further divide and weaken the United States, leaving the president that only winner, a man whose goal it is to divide America a much as possible. Instead of our politicians taking the steps to lead us out of this morass, they simply take actions to deepen the divide, with the United States Senate - no longer should it be considered the world's most deliberative body - leading the way.

On top of no longer being deliberative, the Senate doesn't even remotely reflect America writ large. After this bitter, partisan fight, Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) said that there are no Republican women on the Senate Judiciary committee because being on said committee is really hard work, inferring that women can't handle it. This is reflective of the fact that Senate Republicans were never ultimately going to deny Judge Kavanaugh a seat on the court, no matter what. Even if you feel that Mr. Kavanaugh was not guilty of the allegations brought by Dr. Ford, as we said in last week's column, he illustrated his ill-temperament to be on the court with his naked partisanship spouting conspiracy theories, of all things. Danielle Pletka of the American Enterprise Institute said that judges usually grow in the office, gaining a deeper understanding of their responsibility, but that hasn't been the case with Clarence Thomas nor will it be the case with Brett Kavanaugh. And if you think many women are angry now, if Roe v. Wade comes before the court again, and five men decide the to strike the precedent, the divide will become irreparable.

Founder of the MeToo Movement, Tamara Burke, explained that most people do not understand the life cycle of a sexual assault survivor, and it's not difficult to put people such as Mitch McConnell, Lindsey Graham or Chuck Grassley in that camp. In the joint interview, Alyssa Milano, who brought MeToo into the cultural consciousness said that she is not playing for the 'win,' but against the abuse of power. The only problem with that is she's fighting forces (see the aforementioned Senators) that are fighting for the win and don't care how their potential abuses of power are perceived. On the part of Republicans in the Senate, their really is a disconnect.

With all that said, Mr. Kavanaugh's reputation is destroyed as his career almost was, and if there isn't solid evidence that he committed this criminal act, like it or not you're innocent in the United States until proven guilty. The FBI investigation was incomplete at best so Senator Lamar Alexander's (R-TN) explanation isn't based on all the facts. On the other hand, despite Democrats emphasizing the point too late that this is a job interview as mentioned today by Senator Chris Coons (D-DE), that's in fact what it was, and Mr. Kavanaugh did not do well. Again, proving he shouldn't have been confirmed.

Republican strategist Al Cardenas had the most sensible solution in the aftermath of this most damaging battle and that is that the Senate should move to set clear guidelines for their role of advise and consent. Unfortunately, the problem is with Mitch McConnell leading the way, that's never going to happen because it doesn't allow him to change the rules or muddy the water when he wants as to ensure that he gets what he wants.

Where does this leave us? Mr. Cardenas said we're headed for a civil cold war, but we're already there. Both sides are energized and are ready for the midterm fight. NBC's Kasie Hunt explained the conventional wisdom says that Democrats will take the House and Republicans will keep control of the Senate. The problem with that thinking is that you have to ask yourself, has anything in the last three years been conventional? Not in the slightest.

This picture pretty much sums up the week, doesn't it?




Panel: Kasie Hunt, NBC; Danielle Pletka, American Enterprise Institute; Al Cardenas, Republican Strategist; Michael Beschloss, Presidential Historian


Sunday, September 30, 2018

9.30.18: Brett Kavanaugh Lacks the Temperament for The Supreme Court

Today's "Meet The Press" has been preempted for coverage of the Ryder Cup.


On Thursday as part of the Senate hearings on Judge Brett Kavanaugh's nomination for the Supreme Court, we heard from Dr. Christine Blasey Ford and Judge Kavauagh himself with regard to allegations that he sexually assaulted Dr. Ford in high school.

Finally, now, the FBI is going to be interviewing Mark Judge who Dr. Ford places in the room, along with other allegations brought forth by other woman.

While both individuals gave compelling testimony, essentially this was another interview in the process of the job application of Mr. Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court. Whether you believe Dr. Ford's account and allegations or not, Brett Kavanaugh's testimony was telling, especially this passage from his opening statement:

This whole two-week effort has been a calculated and orchestrated political hit fueled with apparent pent-up anger about President Trump and the 2016 election, fear that has been unfairly stoked about my judicial record. Revenge on behalf of the Clintons and millions of dollars in money from outside left-wing opposition groups. This is a circus. The consequences will extend long past my nomination. The consequences will be with us for decades. This grotesque, character assassination will dissuade confident and good people of all political persuasions from serving our country and as we all know in the political system of the early 2000s, what goes around comes around.

The manner in which Brett Kavanaugh delivered this statement illustrated an extreme partisan bent that we have not seen in modern times from a prospective Supreme Court jurist. In particular, "revenge of behalf of the Clintons" refers to Mr. Kavanaugh's time spent on Bill Clinton's impeachment as part of Special Prosecutor Ken Starr's team, in addition to Mrs. Clinton's defeat in 2016. As you can also see from the above portion, he called the hearings a 'circus,' and later went further to say that Democrats weren't there to advise and consent but to search and destroy.


As Mr. Kavanaugh notably stated, we know he drank beer, likes beer and still does. However, when asked about his past drinking habits, Mr. Kavanaugh was less than forthcoming and engaged in a distasteful "whataboutism" with Senators Amy Klobachur (D-MN) and Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) asking them if she had blacked out from drinking and what he liked to drink.

Perhaps out of embarrassment for youthful transgressions, Mr. Kavanaugh did not want to disclose insights about his drinking habits in high school and college. However, if he was completely innocent of the allegations Dr. Ford why wouldn't he agree to have the FBI conduct additional interviews to thoroughly vet the circumstances. A number of Democratic senators, most notably Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL), asked him if he would agree with this step, and in his answers he never once said he thought it was the right thing to do.

From the looks of it, Mr. Kavanaugh is in fact hiding something, or in being generous is less than forthright about his drinking.

This column is of the opinion that indeed Dr. Ford and Mr. Kavanaugh are correct. Brett Kavanaugh did commit this sexual assault on Dr. Ford when they were both in high school, but Mr. Kavanaugh in his severely drunken state at the time doesn't remember this incident. However, as the Bard has told us, here within lies the rub: Mark Judge probably does remember this incident and because lying to the FBI can land you in jail, he'll recall what Brett Kavanaugh would forever had hoped to forget.

Lastly, given Judge Kavanaugh's lasted testimony and the confrontational nature in which he engaged Democratic senators on the Judiciary committee, he showed that his temperament is insufficient for a lifetime appointment to the nation's highest court. Given his opening screed alone, how could anyone ever think that he could be impartial on the bench? Answer: he no longer can be seen as impartial on any judicial level.

One more thing...
His rant during the hearing not withstanding, it's difficult to not be cynical when Senator Lindsey Graham says that he's been a lawyer, a judge and a senator and not think he's in fact interviewing for a job in the Trump Administration, specifically as the next Attorney General. Also, the American Bar Association, which he called the gold standard has sent a letter stating that it could not support Judge Kavanaugh's confirmation until a full FBI investigation has been completed.



Sunday, September 23, 2018

9.23.18: Mitch McConnell Has Poisoned The Court, A Seventh Vetting of Kavanaugh Is Necessary

The Senate faces a difficult and damaging situation; there is no doubt. However, it's only be made worse by the Senate itself. And it all goes back to the biggest wretch in what has been called, "the world's most deliberative body," and that would be Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY). He, above anyone else, has poisoned the nomination process of the Supreme Court and it all started with refusing to give former Supreme candidate Merrick Garland a hearing when Barack Obama was president. Then he changed the rules for a 60-vote benchmark to confirm a Justice, going with a simple majority once Donald Trump won the presidency. Now he's trying to ram through the nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh before the midterm elections, anticipating the possibility that Republicans may lose control of the Senate in November.

Mitch McConnell has single-handedly politicized and poisoned the Supreme Court beyond repair, and as long as he is the leader of the Republican caucus in the Senate, it should be given no quarter, ever.

This brings us to the Senate's performance with regard to the sexual assault allegation brought forth by Dr. Christine Blasey Ford against Judge Kavanaugh, which in agreement with Chris Matthews she had the duty as a citizen to come forward. To be clear, Senators on both sides have done a disservice to the American people, but considering that Republicans are in control and chair the Judiciary Committee, they shoulder much more of the blame.

Not to leave out the fact that Senate Republicans have made the following statements:

Senator Dean Heller (NV) - "This is a hiccup." Really? Sexual Assault is a hiccup?
Senator Orrin Hatch (UT) - "This woman who ever she is, is mixed up." He's had a misogynistic attitude his entire Senate career.
And last but not least, Senator Mitch McConnell (KY), "We're going to plow right through it, and do our job." What a tool. It? There is a person involved and her name is Dr. Christine Blasey Ford.

In Chuck Todd's interview with Senator David Perdue (R-GA), he stated the Judge Kavanaugh has been vetted six times by the FBI. Well, there should be a seventh time because as Mr. Todd pointed out he has not been vetted about this incident, which Mr. Perdue thinks unnecessary. Then Mr. Todd posed the question of what Mr. Perdue did in these types of situations when he was in the private sector, to which he answered that he would seek to be thorough and get all the information in determining the truthfulness of the allegation. But do you see the contradiction here? Now that he's a senator, he finds it unnecessary to use all of the resources available, namely the FBI looking into it, to get to the truth of the matter.

As Senator Patty Murray (D-WA) pointed out, the Republicans have predetermined this to be a he said/ she said because they have not called for the FBI to look into it. She also said that Republicans failed the test in 1991 with Anita Hill and they are doing no better in 2018; no doubt.

With all that said, it's easy to see that the Democrats are playing politics here as well in there attempts to delay the vote on Judge Kavanaugh or scuttle it altogether, retribution for Merrick Garland. Though after watching the hearings, the real issue is that Judge Kavanaugh lied to the Senator Patrick Leahy (D-VT) about not knowing that he received stolen confidential emails while Mr. Kavanaugh worked in the Bush White House. That should have already been a disqualifying instance.

As Helene Cooper of The New York Times pointed out, it's incredibly difficult for a woman to come forward to report a sexual assault. This is backed up by the point that Senator Murray made that there was a time when young women were told by their parents not to say anything. One could accept that that still happens. When young boys are sexually assaulted by the clergy, they may not report it for decades out of shame, just one of many reasons. It's a similar situation in both cases.

On Thursday, the American people will hear from Judge Kavanaugh and Dr. Blasey Ford, and they'll make the determination of which person is more credible, but if you've been paying attention Mr. Kavanaugh's credibility is already suspect and he's undeserving of a lifetime appointment to the United States' highest court.


Panel: Chris Matthews, MSNBC; Eliana Johnson, Politico; Jonah Goldberg, The National Review; Helene Cooper, The New York Times


Sunday, September 16, 2018

9.16.18: The President Lacks Empathy Which Means A Lack of Success

"Unseemly" is the word the The Wall Street Journal's Peggy Noonan used to describe President Trump's politicizing of Hurricane Maria hitting Puerto Rico last year. In the days leading up to Hurricane Florence hitting the Carolinas, the president through Twitter blamed the Democrats for inflating the number of deaths in Puerto Rico for the purpose of making him look bad.

The panel also talked about presidents having empathy, to which, again, Ms. Noonan explained the Mr. Trump doesn't have the normal presidential reactions. How about a decent human reaction - to feel for people whose lives have been shattered. PBS's Yamiche Alcindor said that it's like the president is saying the dead aren't dead. Words matter, and the president has to keep his eye on the ball and right now that is helping North and South Carolina mitigate the devastation and not just go down there for a photo-op. Having empathy or in other terms being the Consoler-in-Chief is a critical part of being president. Presidential historian Doris Kearns Goodwin explained that acknowledgement of error shows empathy and even strengthens a president's support. However, as we know all too well, not for this president. Mr. Trump will never apologize or admit fault, unless it is pointed in someone else's direction.

Brock Long, the FEMA Administrator, explained that the situation in the Carolinas is still unfolding  and that life safety is the main concern right now for FEMA. Mr. Long described recovery efforts in terms of four legs of a chair - federal government, local government, private sector and the citizening - and that each leg had to be working to be effective. However, if the local government is incapacitated then it's up to FEMA to shoulder the responsibility and marshal and distribute the resources. That's what FEMA does for American citizens... All American citizens.

It's understandable that Administrator Long doesn't want to get into the politics as a FEMA administrator shouldn't, but he did say that the number for the death toll in Puerto Rico are all over the place, which they clearly are not. But in addition to that he said that he didn't know why the studies were conducted. What? This makes one question his ability to be the head administrator, seriously. These studies were commissioned by the government to determine what exactly happened and hence how your agency can improve in its response.

Whether admitted or not, we can only hope that Mr. Long has learned the lessons of Hurricane Maria and will do a better job for the people of North and South Carolina, while continuing to help Puerto Rico.

And speaking of help, President Trump is beyond it.

His former campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, has flipped this week, something the ever-infuriating Harvard Law Professor Alan Dershowitz even said was a terrible day for the president. Terrible, indeed. As Congressman Adam Schiff (D-CA) said in his interview, the longer you wait the more time in prison you'll get. No doubt as Mr. Manafort waited too long and now he is trying to avoid prison before the day comes where he'll have to be fitted for adult diapers.

Mr. Manafort has come to realize that because of both the state and federal charges against him that a pardon by Mr. Trump will not get him out of jail time. And he's also understanding that as everyone knows, loyalty when it comes to Mr. Trump is a one-way street. As Ms. Kearns Goodwin explained, administration officials need to be loyal to their jobs, not to a single person.  Yet for Mr. Trump, you have to give it personally to get it, but that you wait for the latter in vain. Now, special counsel Robert Mueller is 'inside' the room during the Trump Tower meeting with the Russians back in June of 2016. Also, there was seemingly a quid quo pro between Mr. Manafort and Oleg Deripaska, the Russian oligarch and close friend to Vladimir Putin, which Mr. Mueller's team will now have insight into the relationship.

The president's lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, said Friday and yesterday that the cooperation of Mr. Manafort with the special counsel's office has nothing to do with the president or his campaign, which is yet to be seen. However, one should take heed of Ms. Alcindor's insight that it's more about the financials, specifically Mr. Manafort's and what he knows about Mr. Trump's financial ties to the Russians, which are substantial. That angle of the story seems to be somewhat off the radar, but it's likely to become one of the most significant developments in how Mr. Trump is beholden to Russian oligarchs and hence the Kremlin.

The most damaging information is yet to come, there is now little doubt.


Panel: Doris Kearns Goodwin, presidential historian; Peggy Noonan, The Wall Street Journal; Yamiche Alcindor, PBS; Rich Lowry, The National Review

Sunday, September 09, 2018

9.9.18: Everyone's Joined In Outrage

There's certainly a lot to comment on from this past week, but it's important to start with what Senator Ben Sasse (R-NE) explained in his interview today which was as long as we're focused on the daily incompetence of the president, there is no longer term vision or policy that is being executed. Granted it's almost impossible not to discuss anything without factoring the president into the equation, despite what Budget Director Mick Mulvaney said to donors the other day that if you take Mr. Trump out of the equation, Republicans will do very well in these midterm elections. Not much of a pep talk.

According to the anonymous op-ed in The New York Times written by a senior administration official, the public should take some 'cold comfort' in the fact that there are adults in the room. Kellyanne Conway, counselor to the president, is not one of them. She's the ultimate enabler to be certain. She explained that the team has tightened this week because of the op-ed, as they are "joined in our outrage." Aptly put considering that a majority of Americans are joined in their outrage about the performance of this president. Everyone's raging...

Chuck Todd asked Ms. Conway if the president is in charge of his presidency, to which you'd never get any other answer than 'of course.' But it's clear, as the panel discussed, that we have learned nothing new from the op-ed or from the excerpts of Bob Woodward's upcoming book Fear, except to confirm what we've been hearing on a daily basis. Case in point is Ms. Conway herself. She received a request from Mr. Woodward to interview the president for the book, and even though she does have direct access to the president, she decided herself to bury the request instead of informing the president about it. She admitted as much today.

Any which way, an 'unelected cabal' of people in an administration, especially this one, is not how the country should be run. As Cornell Belcher and Danielle Pletka agreed, it's both slightly comforting, but also terrifying.

And of course, what the op-ed achieved was to bring out even more authoritarian tendencies on the part of Donald Trump, ignorantly accusing The New York Times of treason. Also, when Mr. Todd asked Ms. Conway what law was broken that would precipitate President Trump telling Attorney General Jeff Sessions to investigate the leak, she of course didn't have an answer.

In terms of the Republicans in Congress, for the most part they're just keeping their heads down with nothing to say with the exception of the aforementioned Mr. Sasse who did in fact describe this administration as a reality show today. But writ large, Republicans haven't done a single thing in the form of any real oversight of this president or administration.

Instead, they're only, obviously, interested in their own power to in the case of confirming Judge Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court, protecting their interests in the event that they lose power. Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL) today accurately described every one of the Mr. Kavanaugh's answers as evasive and numbingly repetitious. Throughout the hearings, Mr. Kavanaugh repeatedly said that he would not answer a 'hypothetical' question so there was no gaining any insight into his judicial philosophy because so much of the documentation on Mr. Kavanaugh was withheld from the public.

Mr. Todd brought up Senator Kamala Harris's inquiry to Mr. Kavanaugh as to whether he had spoken to anyone at the president's lawyer's firm about the Mueller investigation. Mr. Durbin answered that Ms. Harris had heard that such a conversation may have taken place so she asked the nominee about it. It was the only definitive answer he gave, which was a 'no' answer, however it took him two days to answer with that one-word response.

Mr. Kavanaugh should not be confirmed for a lifetime appointment as a Supreme Court Justice as he is the epitome of an activist jurist. In the moment, as Mr. Durbin rightly outlined, he would rule for President Trump to deem any legal action against the president unconstitutional, essentially putting Mr. Trump above the law. And then in the long term, Mr. Kavanaugh, despite what he's said in these hearings, will acquiesce to the hard right and decide again Roe vs. Wade should it come before the court. Unfortunately, Republicans will successful jam this nominee through before the midterms, where they are anticipating losing control of Congress.

Our completely Republican-controlled government did the only two things it could in these two years of absolute control - confirm hard right Supreme Court judges and pass a massive unnecessary tax cut for the wealthiest Americans.


Panel: Katy Tur, NBC; Danielle Pletka, American Enterprise Institute; Cornell Belcher, Democratic Strategiest; Erick Erickson, The Resurgent


One More Thing...
The president really needs to learn how to say 'anonymous' to fain any sort of outrage. Or maybe just the meds were kicking in, anyone's guess...




Update: And if we were betting on who the anonymous op-ed writer is, this column predicts it's National Security Advisor, John Bolton.