Today's panel had a spirited debate with regard to Saudi Arabia and how the United States should approach its relationship with the kingdom, which certainly needs to change. There's one thing that must be taken off the table at the outset:
President Trump doesn't care that the Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman ordered the murder of Jamal Khoshoggi.
That's not stated as an ad hominem attack per se as much as he sees it as an inconvenience in the transactional relationship that the United States has with that country. Embedded with that transactions are Mr. Trump's personal interests, namely the massive amounts of real estate that the Saudis have purchased from him personally, which disincline him from any serious accountability.
However, with that in mind, Senator Mike Lee (R-UT) is absolutely correct that the United States should not be engaging in unconstitutional support of a civil war in Yemen. The United States needs to disengage from that war and tell the Saudis that they are on their own if they want to continue prosecuting that war. (There was a time that the United States would have the capacity to bring people to the table to at least achieve a cease-fire, but those days are not today.) Congress, as Mr. Lee stated, needs to step up and end U.S. involvement.
Mr. Lee also did state that he disagrees with the president in terms of the CIA's assessment of the crown prince's involvement - he sides with U.S. intelligence. To that, Chuck Todd then asked what Mr. Lee's 'breaking point' would be with this president who continues to attack the institutions of this country, to which the Utah senator stated a violation of the Constitution. That breaking point has been reached already. If it's clear to this column and one of public record that the president has taken money for his businesses from the Saudi government that violates the emoluments clause of the Constitution. The defense there can be that there isn't definitive proof because we haven't seen the president's tax returns.
Emoluments will be something that the Congress will be investigating as outlined by Congressman Elijah Cummings (D-MD), soon to be chairman of the House oversight committee. This is one of the top orders of Congressional business as the president has disputed his own intelligence community with regard to not only Saudi Arabia but also with regard to Russia, two countries that the president presumably has significant financial ties. If you read Craig Unger's impeccably researched House of Trump, House of Putin, there is little doubt for the latter.
It is true what Mr. Cummings said today with regard to Republicans particularly in the House aiding and abetting this president in terms of protecting him from oversight. A must-needed check has been delivered by the American electorate in the form of a Democratically-controlled House. It is for this very reason that President Trump continues his attacks on American institutions such as the judiciary, the intelligence community and the election system to name a few. The president hopes that the continued attacks will throw into doubt any conclusions that are reached that negatively impact him personally, of which many are coming.
However, Mr. Cummings did say that he wants to hold the president accountable to himself and the promises he made about prescription drug prices and infrastructure - two issues that need to be addressed. The congressman said that the Democratically elected Congress would be able to provide oversight while not taking it's eye off the ball with regard to policies that everyday Americans face, namely healthcare. It's a good first step to hear this as Congressional Republicans during the Obama Administration wanted to make you believe that the endless Benghazi hearings were important American policy instead of a complete waste of time.
Moving on, aside from not being about personal gain or preservation, the presidency of the United States is not one of cynicism.
As The New York Times Helene Cooper said, it's the ultimate in cynicism that the Trump administration issued its climate report on Black Friday so that news coverage would be a light as possible. With that, the climate discussion has been long overdue on 'Meet The Press.' With all due respect to Danielle Pletka who said that we've had the coldest years these past two in the last twenty (or whatever she said exactly) speaks to her little understanding of climate change. As the earth's poles become warmer, which they are dramatically, temperatures will shift to other parts of the world in the short term (relatively speaking) but eventually all parts will continue to warm. What we're seeing right now are extremes in whether because of changing climates in other parts of the world. Ms. Pletka said she's not a scientist and neither is the writer of this column but it shouldn't be used as an excuse not to listen to the scientific professionals that know something about this - like the 13 federal agencies the conducted the study.
Doris Kearns Goodwin explained that with regard to climate change, there isn't leadership on this issue on any level, and Elise Jordan reinforced the point saying that there is also no political will to make the tough choices. Tough choices are things that Donald Trump anything to avoid.
Panel: Doris Kearns Goodwin, presidential historian; Helene Cooper, The New York Times; Danielle Pletka, American Enterprise Institute; Elise Jordan, MSNBC contributor
Sunday, November 25, 2018
Sunday, November 18, 2018
11.18.18: Vanquishing the Personal and Party Over Country
Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) certainly did have his caffeine this morning. Senator Graham was unequivocal in his stance on matters of policy foreign and domestic.
First, with regard to Special Counsel Robert Mueller's investigation, Mr. Graham said he was confident that the probe will not be shut down and that most everyone on the Hill believes that Mr. Mueller and his team should be allowed to do his job. Democrats in the Senate, lead by Chuck Schumer, are insisting that legislation protecting the probe should be enacted. In addition, outgoing Senator Jeff Flake (R-AZ) will refuse to vote on anymore of President Trump's judicial nominations unless such legislation is approved. The constitutionality of such legislation is in question.
The National Review's Rich Lowry made two good points on this that circle round to Senator Graham's confidence. One, he agrees with that said legislation would be unconstitutional due to the fact that Congress can not control Executive Branch hires, of which Mr. Mueller is one. That may disheartening to Democrats, however, he also made the point that the proverbial ship has sailed on firing the Special Counsel because if that happens, the first thing that the new chairman of the judiciary committee come January, presumably Jerrold Nadler (D-NY), will do is call Mr. Mueller in front of Congress and tell everything he knows - in front of the American people, the more significant point in this discussion hence Mr. Graham's confidence. Additionally, Democrats forcing a government shutdown because of the exclusion of such legislation would spend a damaging amount of political capital and ultimately would not go over well.
However, there's one more aspect to this that needs to be touched on, which is Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell's refusal to bring said legislation to the Senate floor for a vote. Mr. McConell also doesn't think the legislation is constitutional but say if it were. He still wouldn't bring it to the floor of the Senate and the reason is that if it were to pass, it would send a message that the Republican-control body officially sanctions the probe and thus its findings. When those findings become public and if there is clear wrong-doing on the part of the president the Democratically-controlled House would vote to impeach. The Senate having given sanction to the Mueller probe, would then have to act accordingly. One thing is for sure and that's that Senate McConnell always puts party over country so he's not inclined to give Democrats any perceived leverage.
The president is lashing out at the Mueller investigation because, frankly, he's freaking out because the special counsel's questions were literally put right in front of him and he realized that he's lost his protectors in the House.
With regard the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi and CIA's determination that Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman sanctioned the murder, Senator Graham clearly stated his thoughts on the matter, essentially agreeing with the CIA's assessment and gave a flat 'no' when it came to inviting the Kingdom's US ambassador back who also happens to be related to the crown prince. He also explained that the Senate was planning to invoke the Magnitsky Act on Saudi officials. In terms of the Senate that U.S.-Saudi relationship is deeply fractured with Senator Graham calling the crown prince 'irrational' and 'unhinged.'
The problem of taking appropriate steps to sanction Saudi Arabia isn't with Congress, but with this transactional administration. In addition to Jared Kushner's close relationship with the crown prince, there's the perception that the president is making decisions on this, or in this case not making decisions, based on his personal financial relationship with the Saudis and their buying of Trump real estate. In this instance it seems quite clear that the president has violated the emoluments clause of the Constitution, but we can not know for sure until the president's tax returns are subpoenaed by Congress. Hallie Jackson explained that the administration keeps putting this on the back burner, pushing farther and farther back in the hopes that it will go away, but that's the rub, things like this do not simply go away.
"The problem is with the Republicans, not the Democrats," stated Senator Graham on the topic of prison reform, something that is much needed and that has wide bipartisan support in Congress. Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) said that it was his top priority in the lame duck session. It even has the support of the president. The reason that Mr. Graham made that statement is because some Republican senators such as Tom Cotton (R-AR) who still believe in minimum sentencing and 'three strikes and you're out' for non-violent offenses. Mr. Graham stated that the bill should be brought to the floor where Senator Cotton would be voted down. The rub - the question remains as to whether Mitch McConnell will bring it to the floor for a vote.
Now that the midterms are over and there's divided government, or for the sake of this point, more balanced government, the American people want to see the parties working in a more bipartisan fashion. Congress's bipartisan outrage with regard to Saudi Arabia and its overwhelming agreement on criminal justice reform are a good start. The problem is that aforementioned individuals are putting the personal and party over country.
Panel: Hallie Jackson, NBC; Yamiche Alcindor, PBS; Rich Lowry, The National Review; John Harwood, CNBC
One more thing...
In terms of Nancy Pelosi being the next Speaker of the House, this column is conflicted. Yes, the Democrats need new leadership to come forward but they also need Nancy Pelosi. What the Democrats should do is have some one new in a leadership role and have Ms. Pelosi groom that person. Given the era of Donald Trump, the Democrats right now need some one who is savvy, who can mobilize others, who can go toe to toe with the Republicans and who can fund raise. Given that, the Democrats should get all they can out of Nancy Pelosi because it's true - Republicans demonize her because there is no Democrat who is a more effective politician.
First, with regard to Special Counsel Robert Mueller's investigation, Mr. Graham said he was confident that the probe will not be shut down and that most everyone on the Hill believes that Mr. Mueller and his team should be allowed to do his job. Democrats in the Senate, lead by Chuck Schumer, are insisting that legislation protecting the probe should be enacted. In addition, outgoing Senator Jeff Flake (R-AZ) will refuse to vote on anymore of President Trump's judicial nominations unless such legislation is approved. The constitutionality of such legislation is in question.
The National Review's Rich Lowry made two good points on this that circle round to Senator Graham's confidence. One, he agrees with that said legislation would be unconstitutional due to the fact that Congress can not control Executive Branch hires, of which Mr. Mueller is one. That may disheartening to Democrats, however, he also made the point that the proverbial ship has sailed on firing the Special Counsel because if that happens, the first thing that the new chairman of the judiciary committee come January, presumably Jerrold Nadler (D-NY), will do is call Mr. Mueller in front of Congress and tell everything he knows - in front of the American people, the more significant point in this discussion hence Mr. Graham's confidence. Additionally, Democrats forcing a government shutdown because of the exclusion of such legislation would spend a damaging amount of political capital and ultimately would not go over well.
However, there's one more aspect to this that needs to be touched on, which is Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell's refusal to bring said legislation to the Senate floor for a vote. Mr. McConell also doesn't think the legislation is constitutional but say if it were. He still wouldn't bring it to the floor of the Senate and the reason is that if it were to pass, it would send a message that the Republican-control body officially sanctions the probe and thus its findings. When those findings become public and if there is clear wrong-doing on the part of the president the Democratically-controlled House would vote to impeach. The Senate having given sanction to the Mueller probe, would then have to act accordingly. One thing is for sure and that's that Senate McConnell always puts party over country so he's not inclined to give Democrats any perceived leverage.
The president is lashing out at the Mueller investigation because, frankly, he's freaking out because the special counsel's questions were literally put right in front of him and he realized that he's lost his protectors in the House.
With regard the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi and CIA's determination that Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman sanctioned the murder, Senator Graham clearly stated his thoughts on the matter, essentially agreeing with the CIA's assessment and gave a flat 'no' when it came to inviting the Kingdom's US ambassador back who also happens to be related to the crown prince. He also explained that the Senate was planning to invoke the Magnitsky Act on Saudi officials. In terms of the Senate that U.S.-Saudi relationship is deeply fractured with Senator Graham calling the crown prince 'irrational' and 'unhinged.'
The problem of taking appropriate steps to sanction Saudi Arabia isn't with Congress, but with this transactional administration. In addition to Jared Kushner's close relationship with the crown prince, there's the perception that the president is making decisions on this, or in this case not making decisions, based on his personal financial relationship with the Saudis and their buying of Trump real estate. In this instance it seems quite clear that the president has violated the emoluments clause of the Constitution, but we can not know for sure until the president's tax returns are subpoenaed by Congress. Hallie Jackson explained that the administration keeps putting this on the back burner, pushing farther and farther back in the hopes that it will go away, but that's the rub, things like this do not simply go away.
"The problem is with the Republicans, not the Democrats," stated Senator Graham on the topic of prison reform, something that is much needed and that has wide bipartisan support in Congress. Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) said that it was his top priority in the lame duck session. It even has the support of the president. The reason that Mr. Graham made that statement is because some Republican senators such as Tom Cotton (R-AR) who still believe in minimum sentencing and 'three strikes and you're out' for non-violent offenses. Mr. Graham stated that the bill should be brought to the floor where Senator Cotton would be voted down. The rub - the question remains as to whether Mitch McConnell will bring it to the floor for a vote.
Now that the midterms are over and there's divided government, or for the sake of this point, more balanced government, the American people want to see the parties working in a more bipartisan fashion. Congress's bipartisan outrage with regard to Saudi Arabia and its overwhelming agreement on criminal justice reform are a good start. The problem is that aforementioned individuals are putting the personal and party over country.
Panel: Hallie Jackson, NBC; Yamiche Alcindor, PBS; Rich Lowry, The National Review; John Harwood, CNBC
One more thing...
In terms of Nancy Pelosi being the next Speaker of the House, this column is conflicted. Yes, the Democrats need new leadership to come forward but they also need Nancy Pelosi. What the Democrats should do is have some one new in a leadership role and have Ms. Pelosi groom that person. Given the era of Donald Trump, the Democrats right now need some one who is savvy, who can mobilize others, who can go toe to toe with the Republicans and who can fund raise. Given that, the Democrats should get all they can out of Nancy Pelosi because it's true - Republicans demonize her because there is no Democrat who is a more effective politician.
Sunday, November 11, 2018
11.11.18: A Political Realignment and a Self-Consumed President
The impact of the midterm election results should not be diminished despite what the president would tell you. Particularly in House races, the election was a referendum on the president and it didn't bode well for him. There has indeed been a political realignment. In fact, the results triggered one of the worst performance weeks of his presidency so far. More on that in a minute.
Locally, the Republicans could not be trusted to protect people with preexisting conditions from getting kicked off their health insurance and that was a big factor. As we discussed at length in this column, the Republicans during the campaign were promising to mandate a protection but had no remedy on how to keep costs down so that people weren't simply priced out of the market. Voters understood that with the Affordable Care Act proving quite popular though fixes are needed. Where Democrats need to improve is in their economic messaging. David Brooks of The New York Times made a point that has mostly flown under the radar, which is despite an economy that has been growing and low unemployment, the working class is still having a hard time of it. Finances for most Americans are still extremely strained in large part because of healthcare especially prescription drug prices, but also because real wage growth in relation to the cost of living has been inadequate, and that's being kind.
It's these tensions along with the tenor coming from the White House that drove the Democratic wave in the House lead particularly by women candidates, which makes perfect sense because in most households women oversee the finances particularly with their children in mind and the president's general treatment of women is reprehensible. As Donna Edwards stated, this midterm election was certainly a rebuke of the president's behavior, and now there are 100+ women in Congress, thankfully.
Given those House gains, Republicans did pick up seats in the Senate with a map that was certainly tilted to their advantage. Democrats had to defend seats in red states where the president won by large margins so Joe Donnelly (D) in Indiana is out as is Heidi Heitkamp (D) in North Dakota. And though this column predicted that Claire McCaskill could pull it out again in Missouri, she came up short to Josh Hawley. Florida and Arizona are still up in the air.
This brings us to the president's performance this past Wednesday (the day after the election) which started off with an ugly press conference where Mr. Trump mocked Republican candidates who lost because they did not support him, according to his logic. He also stifled free speech and freedom of the press (in the First Amendment) in unjustifiably banning CNN's Jim Acosta from the White House as well as threatening the same for other reporters. In that same press conference he accused Yamiche Alcindor of PBS of asking a racist question. And he misogyny continued before he left for Paris saying that April Ryan of the Urban Radio Network was a loser and that Abby Phillip of CNN always asks stupid questions. (all African-American women).
Also on Wednesday, the president fired Attorney General Jeff Sessions and appointed his Mr. Sessions' chief of staff Matthew Whitaker as acting Attorney General setting off concerns of a Constitutional crisis. Sifting through all the opinions since the decisions, it's debatable whether the appointment is Constitutional or not. However, even Matthew Continetti of the Washington Free Beacon conceded that Mr. Whitaker is in no way qualified for the job, but Mr. Whitaker was installed into the position to protect Mr. Trump from the Mueller investigation, for which Whitaker is on record saying that the investigation isn't credible. This is not to mention that fact that on Friday, Mr. Trump said that he didn't know Mr. Whitaker when only a month earlier he said that he did know him as is typical of this president. To counter this, Democratic leaders in the House and Senate have sent a letter to the DOJ as to whether or not they have given an ethics opinion on Mr. Whitaker, as outlined by Adam Schiff (D-CA) who said it was clearly a political decision where there shouldn't be one. Also, Mr. Schiff explained that the Democrats have to focus on a positive agenda, one on which they ran on. Even with that in mind, oversight of this administration is absolutely necessary.
Then 11 days after the mass shooting at the Tree of Life synagogue in Pittsburgh another mass shooting occurred at a club in Thousand Oaks, CA. Yet, the president simply refuses to have the larger conversation on mass shooting epidemic we have in this country, only offering his condolences. Then to add insult to injury, wildfires are ravaging through California with 25 people now dead, threatening the community that just lived through the mass shooting and the president blames poor forest management for the fires. He also threatened to pull federal funding to California to combat these fires while they're still raging. As Mr. Schiff stated, Mr. Trump doesn't understand the job he has and shouldn't be levying punitive punishment on those communities at this time.
With a recount underway in Florida's senate race and votes still being counted in Arizona, the president made accusations of fraud in both contests. This is completely uncalled for by the President of the United States. But this is simply another in a long list of compulsions of Mr. Trump to tear this country apart. With that said, Senator Cory Gardner (R-CO) does have a point about Broward County in Florida that the way they run elections there is incompetent at best and unconstitutional at worst. After the fiasco that was the 2000 recount, this county has had 18 years to get their act together, and they haven't. That's just ridiculous. Of Mr. Gardner took a step too far in saying that we should have an accounting and an election we can be proud of in that county, conveniently forgetting about how Mr. Bush was given the presidency in 2000 with a Supreme Court stoppage of the vote counting.
Lastly, Mr. Trump flew all the way to Paris to take part in the commemoration of the 100th anniversary of WWI and he didn't make the trip to Ainse-Marne cemetary, an hour outside the city, to pay tribute to the 1,600 American soldiers who died in battle there. This is a basic job of the president and he couldn't do it because of rain? Give us a break. This shows total disrespect for our soldiers who fought and died for this country. Not to mention the fact that the president has yet to visit any troops in active combat areas around the globe. Politico's Eliana Johnson said that Mr. Trump has no range as a politician meaning that he doesn't have the capacity to expand his base or the electorate in his favor. You should really take that one step farther and say he has no range as a leader of the American people, at home or abroad.
Is President Trump so self-consumed with his own preservation that he's unable to do the right thing, the presidential act, in any situation? If you've read this far, the question has been answered.
Panel: Matthew Continetti, The Washington Free Beacon; Donna Edwards, fmr. Congresswomen from Maryland; Eliana Johson, Politico; David Brooks, The New York Times
Locally, the Republicans could not be trusted to protect people with preexisting conditions from getting kicked off their health insurance and that was a big factor. As we discussed at length in this column, the Republicans during the campaign were promising to mandate a protection but had no remedy on how to keep costs down so that people weren't simply priced out of the market. Voters understood that with the Affordable Care Act proving quite popular though fixes are needed. Where Democrats need to improve is in their economic messaging. David Brooks of The New York Times made a point that has mostly flown under the radar, which is despite an economy that has been growing and low unemployment, the working class is still having a hard time of it. Finances for most Americans are still extremely strained in large part because of healthcare especially prescription drug prices, but also because real wage growth in relation to the cost of living has been inadequate, and that's being kind.
It's these tensions along with the tenor coming from the White House that drove the Democratic wave in the House lead particularly by women candidates, which makes perfect sense because in most households women oversee the finances particularly with their children in mind and the president's general treatment of women is reprehensible. As Donna Edwards stated, this midterm election was certainly a rebuke of the president's behavior, and now there are 100+ women in Congress, thankfully.
Given those House gains, Republicans did pick up seats in the Senate with a map that was certainly tilted to their advantage. Democrats had to defend seats in red states where the president won by large margins so Joe Donnelly (D) in Indiana is out as is Heidi Heitkamp (D) in North Dakota. And though this column predicted that Claire McCaskill could pull it out again in Missouri, she came up short to Josh Hawley. Florida and Arizona are still up in the air.
This brings us to the president's performance this past Wednesday (the day after the election) which started off with an ugly press conference where Mr. Trump mocked Republican candidates who lost because they did not support him, according to his logic. He also stifled free speech and freedom of the press (in the First Amendment) in unjustifiably banning CNN's Jim Acosta from the White House as well as threatening the same for other reporters. In that same press conference he accused Yamiche Alcindor of PBS of asking a racist question. And he misogyny continued before he left for Paris saying that April Ryan of the Urban Radio Network was a loser and that Abby Phillip of CNN always asks stupid questions. (all African-American women).
Also on Wednesday, the president fired Attorney General Jeff Sessions and appointed his Mr. Sessions' chief of staff Matthew Whitaker as acting Attorney General setting off concerns of a Constitutional crisis. Sifting through all the opinions since the decisions, it's debatable whether the appointment is Constitutional or not. However, even Matthew Continetti of the Washington Free Beacon conceded that Mr. Whitaker is in no way qualified for the job, but Mr. Whitaker was installed into the position to protect Mr. Trump from the Mueller investigation, for which Whitaker is on record saying that the investigation isn't credible. This is not to mention that fact that on Friday, Mr. Trump said that he didn't know Mr. Whitaker when only a month earlier he said that he did know him as is typical of this president. To counter this, Democratic leaders in the House and Senate have sent a letter to the DOJ as to whether or not they have given an ethics opinion on Mr. Whitaker, as outlined by Adam Schiff (D-CA) who said it was clearly a political decision where there shouldn't be one. Also, Mr. Schiff explained that the Democrats have to focus on a positive agenda, one on which they ran on. Even with that in mind, oversight of this administration is absolutely necessary.
Then 11 days after the mass shooting at the Tree of Life synagogue in Pittsburgh another mass shooting occurred at a club in Thousand Oaks, CA. Yet, the president simply refuses to have the larger conversation on mass shooting epidemic we have in this country, only offering his condolences. Then to add insult to injury, wildfires are ravaging through California with 25 people now dead, threatening the community that just lived through the mass shooting and the president blames poor forest management for the fires. He also threatened to pull federal funding to California to combat these fires while they're still raging. As Mr. Schiff stated, Mr. Trump doesn't understand the job he has and shouldn't be levying punitive punishment on those communities at this time.
With a recount underway in Florida's senate race and votes still being counted in Arizona, the president made accusations of fraud in both contests. This is completely uncalled for by the President of the United States. But this is simply another in a long list of compulsions of Mr. Trump to tear this country apart. With that said, Senator Cory Gardner (R-CO) does have a point about Broward County in Florida that the way they run elections there is incompetent at best and unconstitutional at worst. After the fiasco that was the 2000 recount, this county has had 18 years to get their act together, and they haven't. That's just ridiculous. Of Mr. Gardner took a step too far in saying that we should have an accounting and an election we can be proud of in that county, conveniently forgetting about how Mr. Bush was given the presidency in 2000 with a Supreme Court stoppage of the vote counting.
Lastly, Mr. Trump flew all the way to Paris to take part in the commemoration of the 100th anniversary of WWI and he didn't make the trip to Ainse-Marne cemetary, an hour outside the city, to pay tribute to the 1,600 American soldiers who died in battle there. This is a basic job of the president and he couldn't do it because of rain? Give us a break. This shows total disrespect for our soldiers who fought and died for this country. Not to mention the fact that the president has yet to visit any troops in active combat areas around the globe. Politico's Eliana Johnson said that Mr. Trump has no range as a politician meaning that he doesn't have the capacity to expand his base or the electorate in his favor. You should really take that one step farther and say he has no range as a leader of the American people, at home or abroad.
Is President Trump so self-consumed with his own preservation that he's unable to do the right thing, the presidential act, in any situation? If you've read this far, the question has been answered.
Panel: Matthew Continetti, The Washington Free Beacon; Donna Edwards, fmr. Congresswomen from Maryland; Eliana Johson, Politico; David Brooks, The New York Times
Sunday, November 04, 2018
11.4.18: Two Days To Go and The Stakes Couldn't Be Higher
Given Donald Trump's win in 2016, predictions for this election cycle are tepid at best. No one wants to go too far out on a limb, as was the case in this special election edition of "Meet The Press." This was summed up by Democratic pollster Cornell Belcher admitting that he doesn't trust the polls because of what happened in 2016 and due to the extraordinary turnout in early voting.
With that in mind there were a few things that stood out from today's interviews that will end up being significant in who controls the House and Senate after the polls close on Tuesday. First, Senator Chris Van Hollen said that Democrats can not go 0 for 4 in the Senate races of Missouri, Tennessee, North Dakota and Texas. That's significant because that could very well be the case.
To break down what we've seen so far, accounting for high turnout for both parties, Marsha Blackburn will take the seat over Phil Bredesen in Tennessee because Mr. Bredesen who should be leading has run a tentative campaign having had to modulate between Republican and Democratic held positions too much where Ms. Blackburn can simply stay on the hard right. In North Dakota, Heidi Heitcamp can still win if she gets the voter turnout. To contradict what Hugh Hewitt said about Brett Kavanaugh being a factor in Senate races, that's not going to be the deciding factor in North Dakota. In Missouri, the Kavanaugh factor could play a part, but ultimately again, not a big part. Let's face it, the man is on the Supreme Court so Republicans got what they wanted. Senate Democrats on the Judiciary Committee did not act inappropriately in the joint hearings with Dr. Blasey-Ford and Judge Kavanaugh. If you watched those hearings the accusatory voices where those of Republicans (e.g. Senator Lindsey Graham) and Mr. Kavanaugh himself who acted inappropriately when Democrats asked him questions. And though this column has respect for Tom Brokaw, his anecdote that suburban women who have sons are turning back to the Republican party because of Kavanaugh doesn't really float. At this point in this day and age, if those suburban mothers haven't talked to their sons about sexual assault, it reflects poorly on them. With that said, Claire McCaskill can still pull out the race, but as with all her races it will be close.
That's leaves us with Texas, which conventional wisdom would dictate that Ted Cruz will prevail but who knows... Mr. O'Rourke has certainly run the better campaign but that may not be enough though he is the better face for the future of Texas. Also, even though Mr. Cruz may still hold on, he certainly doesn't deserve to win. Donald Trump disparaged his wife and said that his father took part in JFK's assassination yet Mr. Cruz still in the end kissed his ass, frankly. That's simply not Texas, but...
As for governor's races, most of the attention has rightly focused on Georgia and Florida, to which President Trump has said that neither Democratic candidate is qualified to hold office - this coming from a man with no political or governmental administrative experience. In fact, the two Democratic candidates in those respective races, Stacey Abrams in Georgia and Andrew Gillum in Florida are the most qualified. In Florida, Ron DeSantis was a congressman and has no experience running a municipality whereas Mr. Gillum is the mayor of the state's capital, Tallahassee. In Georgia, as Ms. Abrams outlined in her interview today, she is clearly the most qualified having worked across the aisle in Georgia's state legislature and as an administrator. Despite the race being a toss-up due to the fact that the state leans Republican and her opponent Secretary of State Brian Kemp's prior attempts to suppress the vote, Ms. Abrams is well positioned. Additionally, Mr. Kemp should hope that if he wins it's with a 50% majority because if not the race goes to a run-off which will only put a brighter spotlight on the race - something that will not be to his benefit.
Then there are the House races, which by all prognosticating favor the Democrats. No where is Donald Trump more on the ballot than Houses races are concerned and control of the House will most certainly reflect the country's assessment of Mr. Trump's job performance in his first two years in office. The majority of Americans do not subscribe to the fear and loathing that Mr. Trump has brought to the office of the presidency. The continual race-baiting, fear, lying and misogyny will catch up to him and Tuesday could be the day where the American people speak in opposition to all of it. Or at least that's the message that should be sent. Kasie Hunt said that suburb women should not be underestimated in this regard as to their power to dictate the outcome of these midterms and that is truly the case. Instead of how Mr. Brokaw outlined it, suburb women will be the loudest voice in rebuking the president's behavior in office.
Something Tom Brokaw did say should also resonate with Americans and that is that we are slaughtering our own citizens with greater frequency. Mr. Trump is incapable of speaking to this in an heart-felt way and Americans know it. His callousness has been grossly on display especially when he says that the 'bomb' stuff and the mass murder of Jewish Americans in Pittsburgh has slowly the momentum for Republicans in the midterms.
In addition, the trajectory of healthcare is a bigger factor and given the sustained conversation about it since the passage of the Affordable Care Act it is foremost in voters minds. The bottom line is that with all the votes taken up by Republicans to repeal the ACA in full, which includes protections for pre-existing conditions, the electorate is not confident that those will be maintained. And as stated before in this column, if there are maintained by Republicans premiums will essentially go up where millions will be priced out of the market.
Mr. Trump has refused to or is in capable of leading American as one nation so only divided government can put the prop checks in place and that means a Democratically controlled House, which looks likely - said with extremely cautious optimism.
If that's not the outcome, American democracy will take a turn for the worse.
Panel: Kasie Hunt, NBC News; Savannah Guthrie, "The Today Show;" Cornell Belcher, Democratic Strategist; Hugh Hewitt, Salem Radio Network; Tom Brokaw, NBC News
One more thing...
VOTE! VOTE! VOTE!
(It's your civic duty.)
With that in mind there were a few things that stood out from today's interviews that will end up being significant in who controls the House and Senate after the polls close on Tuesday. First, Senator Chris Van Hollen said that Democrats can not go 0 for 4 in the Senate races of Missouri, Tennessee, North Dakota and Texas. That's significant because that could very well be the case.
To break down what we've seen so far, accounting for high turnout for both parties, Marsha Blackburn will take the seat over Phil Bredesen in Tennessee because Mr. Bredesen who should be leading has run a tentative campaign having had to modulate between Republican and Democratic held positions too much where Ms. Blackburn can simply stay on the hard right. In North Dakota, Heidi Heitcamp can still win if she gets the voter turnout. To contradict what Hugh Hewitt said about Brett Kavanaugh being a factor in Senate races, that's not going to be the deciding factor in North Dakota. In Missouri, the Kavanaugh factor could play a part, but ultimately again, not a big part. Let's face it, the man is on the Supreme Court so Republicans got what they wanted. Senate Democrats on the Judiciary Committee did not act inappropriately in the joint hearings with Dr. Blasey-Ford and Judge Kavanaugh. If you watched those hearings the accusatory voices where those of Republicans (e.g. Senator Lindsey Graham) and Mr. Kavanaugh himself who acted inappropriately when Democrats asked him questions. And though this column has respect for Tom Brokaw, his anecdote that suburban women who have sons are turning back to the Republican party because of Kavanaugh doesn't really float. At this point in this day and age, if those suburban mothers haven't talked to their sons about sexual assault, it reflects poorly on them. With that said, Claire McCaskill can still pull out the race, but as with all her races it will be close.
That's leaves us with Texas, which conventional wisdom would dictate that Ted Cruz will prevail but who knows... Mr. O'Rourke has certainly run the better campaign but that may not be enough though he is the better face for the future of Texas. Also, even though Mr. Cruz may still hold on, he certainly doesn't deserve to win. Donald Trump disparaged his wife and said that his father took part in JFK's assassination yet Mr. Cruz still in the end kissed his ass, frankly. That's simply not Texas, but...
As for governor's races, most of the attention has rightly focused on Georgia and Florida, to which President Trump has said that neither Democratic candidate is qualified to hold office - this coming from a man with no political or governmental administrative experience. In fact, the two Democratic candidates in those respective races, Stacey Abrams in Georgia and Andrew Gillum in Florida are the most qualified. In Florida, Ron DeSantis was a congressman and has no experience running a municipality whereas Mr. Gillum is the mayor of the state's capital, Tallahassee. In Georgia, as Ms. Abrams outlined in her interview today, she is clearly the most qualified having worked across the aisle in Georgia's state legislature and as an administrator. Despite the race being a toss-up due to the fact that the state leans Republican and her opponent Secretary of State Brian Kemp's prior attempts to suppress the vote, Ms. Abrams is well positioned. Additionally, Mr. Kemp should hope that if he wins it's with a 50% majority because if not the race goes to a run-off which will only put a brighter spotlight on the race - something that will not be to his benefit.
Then there are the House races, which by all prognosticating favor the Democrats. No where is Donald Trump more on the ballot than Houses races are concerned and control of the House will most certainly reflect the country's assessment of Mr. Trump's job performance in his first two years in office. The majority of Americans do not subscribe to the fear and loathing that Mr. Trump has brought to the office of the presidency. The continual race-baiting, fear, lying and misogyny will catch up to him and Tuesday could be the day where the American people speak in opposition to all of it. Or at least that's the message that should be sent. Kasie Hunt said that suburb women should not be underestimated in this regard as to their power to dictate the outcome of these midterms and that is truly the case. Instead of how Mr. Brokaw outlined it, suburb women will be the loudest voice in rebuking the president's behavior in office.
Something Tom Brokaw did say should also resonate with Americans and that is that we are slaughtering our own citizens with greater frequency. Mr. Trump is incapable of speaking to this in an heart-felt way and Americans know it. His callousness has been grossly on display especially when he says that the 'bomb' stuff and the mass murder of Jewish Americans in Pittsburgh has slowly the momentum for Republicans in the midterms.
In addition, the trajectory of healthcare is a bigger factor and given the sustained conversation about it since the passage of the Affordable Care Act it is foremost in voters minds. The bottom line is that with all the votes taken up by Republicans to repeal the ACA in full, which includes protections for pre-existing conditions, the electorate is not confident that those will be maintained. And as stated before in this column, if there are maintained by Republicans premiums will essentially go up where millions will be priced out of the market.
Mr. Trump has refused to or is in capable of leading American as one nation so only divided government can put the prop checks in place and that means a Democratically controlled House, which looks likely - said with extremely cautious optimism.
If that's not the outcome, American democracy will take a turn for the worse.
Panel: Kasie Hunt, NBC News; Savannah Guthrie, "The Today Show;" Cornell Belcher, Democratic Strategist; Hugh Hewitt, Salem Radio Network; Tom Brokaw, NBC News
One more thing...
VOTE! VOTE! VOTE!
(It's your civic duty.)
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