Gen. Powell certainly and consistently maintains a conservative pragmatist-in-chief reasoning when looking at the world, and he gave a most reasoned and reasonable opinion on the Iranian nuclear deal as everything stands at this time. He said that Iran right now is on a 'superhighway' to obtaining a nuclear weapon and this deal stops it. That's the flash analogy, but here are some facts that he pointed out. One, if the United States rejects the deal, the rest of the world (negotiating countries and the UN) is still going to move on with Iranian engagement. Gen. Powell further explained that after he weighed the consequences of doing the deal or rejecting it, he concluded that taking the Iranians off that superhighway, and at the very least delaying their nuclear capabilities for at least 15 years was better than the alternative. He also presented some more detail with the number of centrifuges and plutonium stores being reduced.
He also said that he thought this deal would make Israel more secure, which stands in contrast to what most of his fellow Republicans are saying. However, we would agree with Gen. Powell in this case, and we'll give the most cynical reasons why, dispensing with the more hopeful, idealistic ones. First, while the entire world is hovering over the Iranians nuclear facilities for 15 years cutting off their way to a nuclear weapon, the Israelis, most probably with U.S. help, can build up their arsenal and defense capabilities to new heights. Also, when the world community becomes aware of freed Iranian funds going to Hamas or Hezbollah, there will much more international pressure to put a stop to it, not contingent of the nuclear deal, as Gen. Powell pointed out, but more of a residual effect. Essentially, instead of Israel having six months to plan and react to a nuclear Iran, this deal buys them at least 15 years and time to prepare if that day comes. And in it's most rudimentary form, go with what the general said, which was "to never trust and always verify."
Staying with the Middle East for a few more moments, despite the fact that ISIS is a movement as Gen. Powell reiterated today, the way in which Syria's civil war simmers down is the military defeat of ISIS and then negotiating a cease fire between the Assad regime and the rebels... that's a start. The military defeat doesn't eliminate the ideology but it eliminates a side in the war that will never 'cease fire.' (Actually, both could be coordinated to occur simultaneously.) The rub is that this joint military force has to consist of Arab countries who are simply not doing their part. The unfortunate but true circumstance.
Obviously, this brings us to the refugee crisis and many European countries scrambling to do something while the world watches. Richard Engel, again this week a key component of the program's success, reporting from the central train station in Budapest, Hungary where thousands of refugees are stranded, said that as Budapest is a focal point, it's Greece that is the front line of the crisis with Lesbos Island being the closest entry point to the EU where the government is trying to provide water and basic sanitation for 25,000 refugees.
You hear a lot of stories about religiously-motivated and xenophobic violence in the EU, but it is Europe that is taking these people in - 800,000 in Germany will be granted asylum. The reason we point this out is because it's astounding the intransigence on the part of the rich Arab nations in the region, especially Saudi Arabia, for not taking in any refugees but also for not stepping up on any of the issues facing the region. The reason is that Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates are all monarchies and the number-one goal of any monarchy is self-preservation. Everything is determined and acted upon in terms of that - taking in refugees doesn't help that cause.
Appropriately, Mr. Todd interviewed former British foreign secretary, David Miliband, and dramatically asked him who is responsible for Aylan Kurdi, the young boy found dead on a Turkish beach. Primarily Bashar Al-Assad, Mr. Miliband answered noting that it has been four years since Assad starting bombing his own people, which initiated the crisis. But he also said that Russia and the U.S. own responsibility for not 'coming to grips' with the devastation of the civil war. Will the U.S. take in 65,000 refugees? As Gen. Powell noted, a resolution depends in large measure as to what Russia is or is not doing. He also pointed out that since the citizens of Syria see Russia backing Assad they assess that the situation will not become any better so they are compelled to leave the country. The foreign secretary also laid some blame on the EU (given the pictures) then also on wealthy Arab countries. We wouldn't have ordered them that way but the point is that there is enough blame for everyone to have a share. We should point out that only Jordan and Lebanon are taking in refugees and are severely feeling the strain.
Lastly, today's program was interspersed with the lighter, more comic topic it's required to cover - presidential politics, for which we'll say these few things. (the topic was actually needed a bit this week.) As outlined in the Republican primary polls, Scott Walker's campaign is sliding into the abyss and you know from our last column we don't think he has the moxy to pull it out. However, it's clear that the front runners in both parties are face some serious challenges and in both cases, self-made. Sec. Clinton's e-mail scandal is like one of those internet ads that follows you to every site you go to... she can't get rid of it and it's clearly hurting her campaign. The latest poll in New Hampshire has Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) up 49% to 38% for Clinton.
The way in which Sec. Clinton will either subdue the e-mail conversation or not is during a prime-time debate where she answers all questions. With that said, we don't think Clinton is as vulnerable as her Republican counterpart, Donald Trump. Never mind that Mr. Trump didn't know who the Quds forces in Iran were, that's not why he won't get the nomination. (By the way, Mr. Hewlitt's question to Mr. Trump was not a 'gotcha' question. It was simply a question Mr. Trump didn't know the answer to. If Mr. Trump would have said that he was not overly familiar with the Qud, that would have been an acceptable answer.) He will not get the nomination because ultimately the RNC doesn't see a way in which he can win in the general. But who steps up?
As Doris Kearns-Goodwin pointed out, Jeb Bush has had to step up, and fight. It wasn't the primary race that he envisioned but he has to do it. Gov. Bush is at six and eight percent respectively is Iowa and New Hampshire polls, trailing both Dr. Ben Carson and Donald Trump. The latter is consistently attacking him and his family's policies, to which he must respond. We give Jeb some credit for mixing it up because none of the other candidates seem to be able to.
However, all that stuff we talked about in this column before mentioning presidential politics, the Bush name carries a lot of weigh and baggage with it. And now that's Jeb's problem.
Panel: Hugh Hewlitt, radio host and conservative commentator; Tom Brokaw, NBC News; Joy-Ann Reid, NBC News; Doris Kearns-Goodwin, presidential historian
One more thing...
Kimberly Davis... the Rowan County Clerk in Kentucky who wouldn't issue the marriage licenses...
She got what she deserved, and the jail time is more appropriate than issuing a fine. She swore an oath to uphold the law and she didn't perform that duty so she is to be held in contempt. Her religious views and beliefs are her own and that those of the state or the nation.
Here's the first Amendment to the U.S. Constitution:
Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances.
Congress
shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or
prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of
speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to
assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances. -
See more at:
http://constitution.findlaw.com/amendment1.html#sthash.xI3kcp8X.dpuf
You can debate all you want, but the first two phrases clearly state that religion should play not part in the making of a law and that people's freedom to practice any religion will not be impeded. However, syntactically there's a reason it's written that way. The law comes first.
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